FORM 10-K
þ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THESECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004
OR
o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THESECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-10816
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(414) 347-6480(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). Yes þ No o
State the aggregate market value of the voting stock held by non-affiliates of the Registrant as of June 30, 2004: $7.4 billion*
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the Registrants classes of common stock as of February 15, 2005: 95,463,848
The following documents have been incorporated by reference in this Form 10-K, as indicated:
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of Registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.o
Part I
Item 1. Business.
A. General
MGIC Investment Corporation (the Company) is a holding company which, through its wholly owned subsidiary Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), is the leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry. Private mortgage insurance covers residential first mortgage loans and expands home ownership opportunities by enabling people to purchase homes with less than 20% down payments. If the homeowner defaults, private mortgage insurance reduces and, in some instances, eliminates the loss to the insured institution. Private mortgage insurance also facilitates the sale of low down payment and other mortgage loans in the secondary mortgage market, including to the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are collectively referred to as the GSEs). In addition to mortgage insurance on first liens, the Company, through other subsidiaries, provides lenders with various underwriting and other services and products related to home mortgage lending.
MGIC is licensed in all 50 states of the United States, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico. The Company is a Wisconsin corporation. Its principal office is located at MGIC Plaza, 250 East Kilbourn Avenue, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202 (telephone number (414) 347-6480).
The Company also has ownership interests in less than majority-owned joint ventures, principally Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) and Sherman Financial Group LLC (Sherman). C-BASS is principally engaged in the business of investing in the credit risk of credit sensitive single-family residential mortgages. Sherman is principally engaged in the business of purchasing and servicing delinquent consumer assets. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and elsewhere in the Companys filings with the SEC, the term Company means the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries. The Companys joint ventures are not consolidated with the Company for financial reporting purposes and are not subsidiaries of the Company.
The Company and its business may be materially affected by the risk factors applicable to the Company that are discussed in Managements Discussion and Analysis Risk Factors in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. C-BASS and Sherman and their respective businesses may be materially affected by the risk factors applicable to them discussed in Item 7. These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that the Company may make.
B. The MGIC Book
Types of Product
In general, there are two principal types of private mortgage insurance: primary and pool.
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Primary Insurance. Primary insurance provides mortgage default protection on individual loans and covers unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest and certain expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure (collectively, the claim amount). In addition to the loan principal, the claim amount is affected by the mortgage note rate and the time necessary to complete the foreclosure process. The insurer generally pays the coverage percentage of the claim amount specified in the primary policy, but has the option to pay 100% of the claim amount and acquire title to the property. Primary insurance generally applies to owner occupied, first mortgage loans on one-to-four family homes, including condominiums. Primary coverage can be used on any type of residential mortgage loan instrument approved by the mortgage insurer. References in this document to amounts of insurance written or in force, risk written or in force and other historical data related to MGICs insurance refer only to direct (before giving effect to reinsurance) primary insurance, unless otherwise indicated. References in this document to primary insurance include insurance written in bulk transactions (see Bulk Transactions below) that is supplemental to mortgage insurance written in connection with the origination of the loan or that reduces a lenders credit risk to less than 50% of the value of the property. Effective with the third quarter of 2001, in reports by private mortgage insurers to the trade association for the private mortgage insurance industry, mortgage insurance that is supplemental to other mortgage insurance or that reduces a lenders credit risk to less than 50% of the value of the property is classified as pool insurance. The trade association classification is used by members of the private mortgage insurance industry in reports to a mortgage industry publication that computes and publishes primary market share information.
Primary insurance may be written on a flow basis, in which loans are insured in individual, loan-by-loan transactions, or may be written on a bulk basis, in which each loan in a portfolio of loans is individually insured in a single, bulk transaction. New insurance written on a flow basis was $47.1 billion in 2004 compared to $71.1 billion in 2003 and $70.0 billion in 2002. New insurance written for bulk transactions was $15.8 billion during 2004 compared to $25.7 billion for 2003 and $22.5 billion for 2002.
The following table shows, on a direct basis, primary insurance in force (the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in MGICs records) and primary risk in force (the coverage percentage applied to the unpaid principal balance), for insurance that has been written by MGIC (the MGIC Book) as of the dates indicated:
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Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by
Primary Insurance and Risk In Force
The coverage percentage provided by MGIC is determined by the lender. For loans sold by lenders to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, the coverage percentage must comply with the requirements established by the particular GSE to which the loan is delivered.
MGIC charges higher premium rates for higher coverages. MGIC believes depth of coverage requirements have no significant impact on frequency of default. Higher coverage percentages generally result in increased severity (which is the amount paid on a claim), and lower coverage percentages generally result in decreased severity. In accordance with industry accounting practice, reserves for losses are only established for loans in default. Because relatively few defaults occur in the early years of a book of business (see Past Industry Losses; Defaults; and Claims, Claims below), the higher premium revenue from deeper coverage is recognized before any higher losses resulting from that deeper coverage may be incurred. MGICs premium pricing methodology generally targets substantially similar returns on capital regardless of the depth of coverage. However, there can be no assurance that changes in the level of premium rates adequately reflect the risks associated with changes in the depth of coverage.
In partnership with mortgage insurers, the GSEs are also offering programs under which, on delivery of an insured loan to a GSE, the primary coverage is restructured to an initial shallow tier of coverage followed by a second tier that is subject to an overall loss limit and compensation may be paid to the GSE reflecting services or other benefits realized by the mortgage insurer from the coverage conversion. Lenders receive guaranty fee relief from the GSEs on mortgages delivered with these restructured coverages.
Mortgage insurance coverage cannot be terminated by the insurer, except for non-payment of premium, and remains renewable at the option of the insured lender, generally at the renewal rate fixed when the loan was initially insured. Lenders may cancel insurance written on a flow basis at any time at their option or because of mortgage repayment, which may be accelerated because of the refinancing of mortgages. In the case of a loan purchased by Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, a borrower meeting certain conditions may require the mortgage servicer to cancel insurance upon the borrowers request when the principal balance of the loan is 80% or less of the homes current value.
Under the federal Homeowners Protection Act (the HPA) a borrower has the right to stop paying premiums for private mortgage insurance on loans closed after July 28, 1999 secured by a property comprised of one dwelling unit that is the borrowers primary residence when certain loan-to-value ratio (LTV ratio) thresholds determined by the value of the home at loan origination and other requirements are met. In general, a borrower may stop making mortgage insurance payments when the LTV ratio is scheduled to reach 80% (based on the loans amortization schedule) or actually reaches 80% if the borrower so requests and if certain
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requirements relating to the borrowers payment history and the absence of junior liens and a decline in the propertys value since origination are satisfied. In addition, a borrowers obligation to make payments for private mortgage insurance generally terminates regardless of whether a borrower so requests when the LTV ratio (based on the loans amortization schedule) reaches 78% of the unpaid principal balance of the mortgage and the borrower is (or thereafter becomes) current in his mortgage payments. A borrowers right to stop paying for private mortgage insurance applies only to borrower paid mortgage insurance. The HPA requires that lenders give borrowers certain notices with regard to the cancellation of private mortgage insurance.
In addition, some states require that mortgage servicers periodically notify borrowers of the circumstances in which they may request a mortgage servicer to cancel private mortgage insurance and some states allow the borrower to require the mortgage servicer to cancel private mortgage insurance under certain circumstances or require the mortgage servicer to cancel such insurance automatically in certain circumstances.
Coverage tends to continue in areas experiencing economic contraction and housing price depreciation. The persistency of coverage in such areas coupled with cancellation of coverage in areas experiencing economic expansion and housing price appreciation can increase the percentage of the insurers portfolio comprised of loans in economically weak areas. This development can also occur during periods of heavy mortgage refinancing because refinanced loans in areas of economic expansion experiencing property value appreciation are less likely to require mortgage insurance at the time of refinancing, while refinanced loans in economically weak areas not experiencing property value appreciation are more likely to require mortgage insurance at the time of refinancing or not qualify for refinancing at all and, thus, remain subject to the mortgage insurance coverage.
The percentage of primary risk written with respect to loans representing refinances was 37.4% in 2004 compared to 48.7% in 2003, 43.8% in 2002, 43.7% in 2001 and 18% in 2000. When a borrower refinances an MGIC-insured mortgage loan by paying it off in full with the proceeds of a new mortgage that is also insured by MGIC, the insurance on that existing mortgage is cancelled, and insurance on the new mortgage is considered to be new primary insurance written. Therefore, continuation of MGICs coverage from a refinanced loan to a new loan results in both a cancellation of insurance and new insurance written.
In addition to varying with the coverage percentage, MGICs premium rates vary depending upon the perceived risk of a claim on the insured loan and, thus, take into account the LTV, the loan type (fixed payment versus non-fixed payment) and mortgage term and, for A- and subprime loans and certain other loans, the location of the borrowers credit score within a range of credit scores. In general, A- loans have FICO scores between 575 and 619 and subprime loans have FICO credit scores of less than 575. A FICO score is a score based on a borrowers credit history generated by a model developed by Fair Isaac and Company.
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Premium rates cannot be changed after the issuance of coverage. Because the Company believes that over the long term each region of the United States is subject to similar factors affecting risk of loss on insurance written, MGIC generally utilizes a nationally based, rather than a regional or local, premium rate policy.
The borrowers mortgage loan instrument may require the borrower to pay the mortgage insurance premium (borrower paid mortgage insurance) or there may be no such requirement imposed on the borrower, in which case the premium is paid by the lender, who may recover the premium through an increase in the note rate on the mortgage (lender paid mortgage insurance). Almost all of MGICs primary insurance in force and new insurance written, other than through bulk transactions, is borrower paid mortgage insurance. New insurance written through bulk transactions is generally paid by the securitization vehicles that hold the mortgages; the mortgage note rate generally does not reflect the premium for the mortgage insurance.
Under the monthly premium plan, a monthly premium payment is made to MGIC to provide only one month of coverage, rather than one year of coverage provided by the annual premium plan. Under the annual premium plan, the initial premium is paid to MGIC in advance, and earned over the next twelve months of coverage, with annual renewal premiums paid in advance thereafter and earned over the subsequent twelve months of coverage. The annual premiums can be paid with either a higher premium rate for the initial year of coverage and lower premium rates for the renewal years, or with premium rates which are equal (level) for the initial year and subsequent renewal years. Under the single premium plan, a single payment is made to MGIC, covering a specified term exceeding 12 months.
During each of the last three years, the monthly premium plan represented more than 95% of MGICs new insurance written. The annual and single premium plans represented the remaining new insurance written.
Pool Insurance. Pool insurance is generally used as an additional credit enhancement for certain secondary market mortgage transactions. Pool insurance generally covers the loss on a defaulted mortgage loan which exceeds the claim payment under the primary coverage, if primary insurance is required on that mortgage loan, as well as the total loss on a defaulted mortgage loan which did not require primary insurance. Pool insurance may have a stated aggregate loss limit and may also have a deductible under which no losses are paid by the insurer until losses exceed the deductible.
New pool risk written during 2004 was $208 million and was $862 million in 2003. New pool risk written during these years was comprised of risk associated with loans delivered to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (agency pool insurance), loans delivered to the Federal Home Loan Banks under their mortgage purchase programs and loans made under state housing finance programs. Direct pool risk in force at December 31, 2004 was $3.0 billion compared to $2.9 billion and $2.6 billion at December 31, 2003 and 2002, respectively. The risk amounts referred to above are contractual aggregate loss limits and, for the years ended December 31, 2004 and 2003, for $4.9 billion of risk without such limits, risk is calculated at $65 million and $192 million, respectively, for new risk written and $418 million and $353 million, respectively, for risk in force, representing the estimated amount that would credit enhance these loans to a AA level based on a rating agency model.
The settlement of a nationwide class action alleging that MGIC violated the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA) by providing agency pool insurance and entering into
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other transactions with lenders that were not properly priced (the RESPA Litigation) became final in October 2003. In a February 1, 1999 circular addressed to all mortgage guaranty insurers licensed in New York, the New York Department of Insurance (NYID) advised that significantly underpriced agency pool insurance would violate the provisions of New York insurance law that prohibit mortgage guaranty insurers from providing lenders with inducements to obtain mortgage guaranty business. In a January 31, 2000 letter addressed to all mortgage guaranty insurers licensed in Illinois, the Illinois Department of Insurance advised that providing pool insurance at a discounted or below market premium in return for the referral of primary mortgage insurance would violate Illinois law.
Risk Sharing Arrangements. MGIC participates in risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs and captive reinsurance arrangements with subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders that reinsure a portion of the risk on loans originated or purchased by the lender which have MGIC primary insurance. During the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and the year ended December 31, 2003, about 51% and 52%, respectively, of MGICs new insurance written on a flow basis was subject to risk sharing arrangements. (New insurance written through the bulk channel is not subject to such arrangements.) The percentage of new insurance written during a quarter covered by such arrangements normally increases after the end of the quarter because, among other reasons, the transfer of a loan in the secondary market can result in a mortgage insured during a quarter becoming part of such an arrangement in a subsequent quarter. Therefore, the percentage of new insurance written for 2004 covered by such arrangements is shown only for the nine months ended September 30, 2004.
In a February 1, 1999 circular addressed to all mortgage insurers licensed in New York, the NYID said that it was in the process of developing guidelines that would articulate the parameters under which captive mortgage reinsurance is permissible under New York insurance law. Such guidelines, which were to ensure that the reinsurance constituted a legitimate transfer of risk and were fair and equitable to the parties, have not yet been issued. The complaint in the RESPA Litigation alleged that MGIC pays inflated captive reinsurance premiums in violation of RESPA. During the three years ended December 31, 2002, 2003 and 2004, MGIC ceded $83.7 million, $99.4 million and $101.7 million of written premium in captive reinsurance arrangements.
External Reinsurance. At December 31, 2004, disregarding reinsurance under captive structures, less than 2% of MGICs insurance in force was externally reinsured. Reinsuring against possible loan losses does not discharge MGIC from liability to a policyholder; however, the reinsurer agrees to indemnify MGIC for the reinsurers share of losses incurred.
Bulk Transactions. In bulk transactions, the individual loans in the insured portfolio are insured to specified levels of coverage. The premium in a bulk transaction, which is negotiated with the securitizer or other owner of the loans, is based on the mortgage insurers evaluation of the overall risk of the insured loans included in the transaction and is often a composite rate applied to all of the loans in the transaction.
In general, the loans insured by MGIC in bulk transactions consist of A- loans; subprime loans; cash out refinances that exceed the standard underwriting requirements of the GSEs; jumbo loans; and loans with reduced underwriting documentation. A- loans have FICO scores between 575 and 619 and subprime loans have FICO credit scores of less than 575. A jumbo loan has an unpaid principal balance that exceeds the conforming loan limit. The conforming loan limit is the maximum unpaid principal amount of a mortgage loan that can be purchased by the GSEs. The conforming loan limit is subject to annual adjustment, and for mortgages covering a home with one dwelling unit is $359,650 for 2005 and was $333,700 in 2004 and $322,700 in
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2003.
Approximately 58% of MGICs bulk loan risk in force at December 31, 2004 had FICO credit scores of at least 620, compared to 55% at December 31, 2003. Approximately 28% of MGICs bulk loan risk in force at December 31, 2004 had A- FICO credit scores compared to 30% at December 31, 2003, and approximately 14% had subprime credit scores at December 31, 2004 compared to 15% at December 31, 2003. Most of the subprime loans insured by MGIC in 2004 were insured in bulk transactions. More than 30% of MGICs bulk loan risk in force at December 31, 2004 had LTV ratios of 80% and below, compared to more than 40% at December 31, 2003.
New insurance written for bulk transactions was $15.8 billion during 2004 compared to $25.7 billion for 2003 and $22.5 billion for 2002. The Companys writings of bulk insurance are in part sensitive to the volume of securitization transactions involving non-conforming loans. The Companys writings of bulk insurance are also sensitive to competition from other methods of providing credit enhancement in a securitization, including an execution in which the subordinate tranches in the securitization rather than mortgage insurance bear the first loss from mortgage defaults. Competition from such an execution depends on, among other factors, the yield at which investors are willing to purchase tranches of the securitization with a higher degree of credit risk compared to the yield for tranches involving the lowest credit risk (the difference in such yields is referred to as the spread) and the amount of credit for losses that a rating agency will give to mortgage insurance, which may be affected by the agencys view of the outlook for the insurers claims paying ability. As the spread declines, competition from an execution in which the subordinate tranches bear the first loss increases. As a result of the sensitivities discussed above, bulk volume can vary materially from period to period.
Customers
Originators of residential mortgage loans such as mortgage bankers, savings institutions, commercial banks, mortgage brokers, credit unions and other lenders have historically determined the placement of mortgage insurance written on flow basis and as a result are the customers of MGIC. To obtain primary insurance from MGIC written on flow basis, a mortgage lender must first apply for and receive a mortgage guaranty master policy (Master Policy) from MGIC. MGIC had approximately 13,900 master policyholders at December 31, 2004 (not including policies issued to branches and affiliates of large lenders). In 2004, MGIC issued coverage on mortgage loans for approximately 4,000 of its master policyholders. MGICs top 10 customers generated 31.9% of its new insurance written on a flow basis in 2004, compared to 33.1% in 2003 and 39.5% in 2002.
Sales and Marketing and Competition
Sales and Marketing. MGIC sells its insurance products through its own employees, located throughout all regions of the United States and Puerto Rico.
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Competition. For flow business, MGIC and other private mortgage insurers compete directly with federal and state governmental and quasi-governmental agencies, principally the FHA and, to a lesser degree, the Veterans Administration (VA). These agencies sponsor government-backed mortgage insurance programs, which during 2004 and 2003 accounted for approximately 35% of the total low down payment residential mortgages which were subject to governmental or private mortgage insurance. Loans insured by the FHA cannot exceed maximum principal amounts which are determined by a percentage of the conforming loan limit. For 2005, the maximum FHA loan amount for homes with one dwelling unit in high cost areas is as high as $312,896 and was as high as $290,319 in 2004. Loans insured by the VA do not have mandated maximum principal amounts but have maximum limits on the amount of the guaranty provided by the VA to the lender. For loans closed on or after December 10, 2004 the maximum VA guarantee is $89,912.
In addition to competition from the FHA and the VA, MGIC and other private mortgage insurers face competition from state-supported mortgage insurance funds in several states, including California and New York. From time to time, other state legislatures and agencies consider expansions of the authority of their state governments to insure residential mortgages.
Private mortgage insurers may also be subject to competition from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to the extent the GSEs are compensated for assuming default risk that would otherwise be insured by the private mortgage insurance industry. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each have programs under which an up-front delivery fee can be paid to the GSE and primary mortgage insurance coverage is substantially reduced compared to the coverage requirements that would apply in the absence of the program. In October 1998, Freddie Macs charter was amended (and the amendment immediately repealed) to give Freddie Mac flexibility to use protection against default in addition to private mortgage insurance and the two other types of credit enhancement required by the charter for low down payment mortgages purchased by Freddie Mac. In addition, to the extent up-front delivery fees are not retained by the GSEs to compensate for their assumption of default risk, and are used instead to purchase supplemental coverage from mortgage insurers, the resulting concentration of purchasing power in the hands of the GSEs could increase competition among insurers to provide such coverage.
The capital markets may also develop as competitors to private mortgage insurers. During 1998, a newly-organized off-shore company funded by the sale of notes to institutional investors provided reinsurance to Freddie Mac against default on a specified pool of mortgages owned by Freddie Mac. Recently, a competitor of MGIC engaged in two transactions in which it transferred portions of the risk that it had written in certain bulk transactions to institutional investors in similar reinsurance structures.
MGIC and other mortgage insurers also compete with transactions structured to avoid mortgage insurance on low down payment mortgage loans. Such transactions include self-insuring, and 80-10-10 loans, which are loans comprised of both a first and a second mortgage (for example, an 80% LTV first mortgage and a 10% LTV second mortgage), with the LTV ratio of the first mortgage below what investors require for mortgage insurance, compared to a loan in which the first mortgage covers the entire borrowed amount (which in the preceding example would be a 90% LTV mortgage). Captive mortgage reinsurance and similar transactions also result in mortgage originators receiving a portion of the premium and the risk.
The private mortgage insurance industry currently consists of eight active mortgage insurers
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and their affiliates; one of the eight is a joint venture in which another mortgage insurer is one of the joint venturers. The names of these mortgage insurers are listed in Managements Discussion and AnalysisRisk Factors in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. According to Inside Mortgage Finance, a mortgage industry publication, which obtains its data from reports to it by MGIC and other mortgage insurers that are to be prepared on the same basis as the reports by insurers to the trade association for the private mortgage insurance industry, for 1995 and subsequent years, MGIC has been the largest private mortgage insurer based on new primary insurance written (with a market share of 23.5% in 2004, 21.9% in 2003 and 24.8% in 2002) and at December 31, 2004, MGIC also had the largest book of direct primary insurance in force. Effective with the third quarter of 2001, these reports do not include as primary mortgage insurance insurance on certain loans classified by MGIC as primary insurance, such as loans insured through bulk transactions that already had mortgage insurance placed on the loans at origination.
The private mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive. The Company believes it competes with other private mortgage insurers for business written through the flow channel principally on the basis of programs involving captive mortgage reinsurance, agency pool insurance, and other similar structures involving lenders; the provision of contract underwriting and related fee-based services to lenders; the provision of other products and services that meet lender needs for risk management, affordable housing, loss mitigation, capital markets and training support; the strength of MGICs management team and field organization; and the effective use of technology and innovation in the delivery and servicing of MGICs insurance products. The Company believes MGICs additional competitive strengths, compared to other private insurers, are its customer relationships, name recognition, reputation and the depth of its database covering loans it has insured. The Company believes it competes for bulk business principally on the basis of the premium rate and the portion of loans submitted for insurance that the Company is willing to insure.
The complaint in the RESPA Litigation alleged, among other things, that captive mortgage reinsurance, agency pool insurance, and contract underwriting as provided by the Company violated RESPA.
Certain private mortgage insurers compete for flow business by offering lower premium rates than other companies, including MGIC, either in general or with respect to particular classes of business. MGIC on a case-by-case basis will adjust premium rates, generally depending on the risk characteristics, loss performance or class of business of the loans to be insured, or the costs associated with doing such business.
In the third quarter of 2001, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) adopted a risk-based capital stress test for the GSEs, which was amended in February 2002. One of the elements of the stress test is that future claim payments made by a private mortgage insurer on GSE loans are reduced below the amount provided by the mortgage insurance policy to reflect the risk that the insurer will fail to pay. Claim payments from an insurer whose claims-paying ability rating (which in this document is also referred to as a financial strength rating) is AAA are subject to a 3.5% reduction over the 10-year period of the stress test, while claim payments from a AA rated insurer, such as MGIC, are subject to a 8.75% reduction. The effect of the differentiation among insurers is to require the GSEs to have additional capital for coverage on loans provided by a private mortgage insurer whose claims-paying rating is less than AAA. As a result, there is an incentive for the GSEs to use private mortgage insurance provided by a AAA rated insurer.
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Contract Underwriting and Related Services
The Company performs contract underwriting services for lenders in which the Company judges whether the data relating to the borrower and the loan contained in the lenders mortgage loan application file comply with the lenders loan underwriting guidelines. The Company also provides an interface to submit such data to the automated underwriting systems of the GSEs, which independently judge the data. These services are provided for loans that require private mortgage insurance as well as for loans that do not require private mortgage insurance. A material portion of the Companys new insurance written through the flow channel in recent years involved loans for which the Company provided contract underwriting services. The complaint in the RESPA Litigation alleged, among other things, that the pricing of contract underwriting provided by the Company violated RESPA.
As part of its contract underwriting services, the Company is responsible for the quality of its underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. Through December 31, 2004, the cost of remedies provided by the Company to customers for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material to the Company. There can be no assurance that contract underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Risk Management
MGIC believes that mortgage credit risk is materially affected by
MGIC believes that mortgage credit risk is also affected by the origination practices of the lender and the condition of the housing market in the area in which the property is located.
MGIC believes that, excluding other factors, claim incidence increases for loans with lower FICO credit scores compared to loans with higher FICO credit scores; for loans with less than full underwriting documentation compared to loans with full underwriting documentation; for loans with higher LTV ratios compared to loans with lower LTV ratios; for ARMs during a prolonged period of rising interest rates compared to fixed rate loans in such a rate environment; for loans that permit the deferral of principal amortization compared to loans that require principal amortization with each monthly payment; for loans in which the original loan amount exceeds the conforming loan limit compared to loans below such limit; and for cash out refinance loans compared to rate and term refinance loans.
There are also other types of loan characteristics relating to the individual loan or borrower which affect the risk potential for a loan. The presence of a number of higher-risk characteristics in a loan materially increases the likelihood of a claim on such a loan unless there are other characteristics to lower the risk.
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MGIC charges higher premium rates to reflect the increased risk of claim incidence that it perceives is associated with a loan, although not all higher risk characteristics are reflected in the premium rate. There can be no assurance that MGICs premium rates adequately reflect the increased risk, particularly in a period of economic recession.
Delegated Underwriting and GSE Automated Underwriting Approvals. Delegated underwriting is a program under which approved lenders are allowed to commit MGIC to insure loans originated through the flow channel utilizing their own underwriting guidelines and underwriting evaluation. Some major lenders having delegated underwriting authority use their own proprietary automated underwriting services to apply their underwriting guidelines to loans. In addition, since 2000, loans approved by the automated underwriting services of the GSEs have been automatically approved for MGIC mortgage insurance.
During the last three years, a substantial majority of the loans insured by MGIC through the flow channel were approved as a result of loan approvals by the automated underwriting services of the GSEs or though delegated underwriting programs, including those utilizing proprietary underwriting services. MGIC expects the portion of its flow business that is approved in this manner to continue to increase. The loan approval criteria of automated underwriting services are within the risk management discretion and control of the GSEs or the lender operating the service. As a result of accepting the loan approval decisions of these services, MGIC does not have the ability to control in advance the risk characteristics of such loans. MGICs risk management approach to such flow business has been to monitor periodically the credit quality of the loans it has recently insured in this manner. If as a result of such review MGIC perceives certain loans insured in this manner have an unacceptably higher risk of claim, MGIC can continue to insure loans with such characteristics that are thereafter submitted to it at A- rates. In addition, in the case of loans approved other than through the automated underwriting systems of the GSEs, MGIC can decline to continue to insure loans having such characteristics.
Bulk Transactions Risk Management. The premium for loans insured in a bulk transaction is determined by MGICs evaluation of the credit risk of the loans included in the transaction based on information about the loans represented to MGIC by the securitizer. Individual loan files are generally not reviewed in advance of the issuance of an insurance commitment but are reviewed at the time a claim is made to confirm that the loan involved in the claim generally conforms to the representations that were previously made. MGIC has the right to rescind coverage for loans that do not conform to such representations.
Past Industry Losses; Defaults; and Claims
Past Industry Losses. The private mortgage insurance industry experienced substantial losses in the mid-to-late 1980s. From the 1970s until 1981, rising home prices in the United States generally led to profitable insurance underwriting results for the industry and caused private mortgage insurers to emphasize market share. To maximize market share, until the mid-1980s, private mortgage insurers employed liberal underwriting practices, and charged premium rates which, in retrospect, generally did not adequately reflect the risk assumed (particularly on pool insurance). These industry practices compounded the losses which resulted from changing economic and market conditions which occurred during the early and mid-1980s, including (i) severe regional recessions and attendant declines in property values in the nations energy producing states; (ii) the development by lenders of new mortgage products to defer the impact on home buyers of double digit mortgage interest rates; and (iii) changes in federal income tax incentives which initially encouraged the growth of investment in non-owner
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occupied properties.
Defaults. The claim cycle on private mortgage insurance begins with the insurers receipt of notification of a default on an insured loan from the lender. MGIC defines a default as an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due. Lenders are required to notify MGIC of defaults within 130 days after the initial default, although most lenders do so earlier. The incidence of default is affected by a variety of factors, including the level of borrower income growth, unemployment, divorce and illness, the level of interest rates and general borrower creditworthiness. Defaults that are not cured result in a claim to MGIC. Defaults may be cured by the borrower bringing current the delinquent loan payments or by a sale of the property and the satisfaction of all amounts due under the mortgage.
The following table shows the number of primary and pool loans insured in the MGIC Book, including loans insured in bulk transactions and A- and subprime loans, the related number of loans in default and the percentage of loans in default (default rate) as of December 31, 2000-2004:
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Default Statistics for the MGIC Book
(1)A portion of A-minus and subprime loans is included in the data for flow loans and the remainder is included in the data for bulk loans. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans are written through the bulk channel.
The default rate for flow loans has generally increased due to an increase in the risk profile of loans insured since 2000 and the continued maturation of MGICs insurance in force. The default rate for bulk loans reflects the higher default rate associated with such loans. The number of pool insurance loans in force peaked at December 31, 2000 as a result of agency pool insurance writings, and the number of pool insurance loans in default in subsequent years increased due to the aging of the loans in the pools.
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Regions of the United States may experience different default rates due to varying localized economic conditions from year to year. The following table shows the percentage of the MGIC Books primary loans in default by MGIC region at the dates indicated:
Default Rates for Primary Insurance By Region*
Claims. Claims result from defaults which are not cured. Whether a claim results from an uncured default principally depends on the borrowers equity in the home at the time of default and the borrowers (or the lenders) ability to sell the home for an amount sufficient to satisfy all amounts due under the mortgage. Claims are affected by various factors, including local housing prices and employment levels, and interest rates.
Under the terms of the Master Policy, the lender is required to file a claim for primary insurance with MGIC within 60 days after it has acquired good and marketable title to the underlying property through foreclosure. Depending on the applicable state foreclosure law, generally at least 12 months transpires from the date of default to payment of a claim on an uncured default.
Within 60 days after the claim has been filed, MGIC has the option of either (i) paying the coverage percentage specified for that loan, with the insured retaining title to the underlying property and receiving all proceeds from the eventual sale of the property or (ii) paying 100% of the claim amount in exchange for the lenders conveyance of good and marketable title to the property to MGIC. MGIC will then sell the property for its own account.
Claim activity is not evenly spread throughout the coverage period of a book of primary business. For prime loans, relatively few claims are received during the first two years following issuance of coverage on a loan. This is followed by a period of rising claims which, based on industry experience, has historically reached its highest level in the third through fifth years after the year of loan origination. Thereafter, the number of claims received has historically declined at a gradual rate, although the rate of decline can be affected by conditions in the economy, including lower housing price appreciation. There can be no assurance that this historical pattern of claims will continue in the future and due in part to the subprime component of loans insured
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in bulk transactions, MGIC expects that the peak claim period for bulk loans will occur earlier than for prime loans. Moreover, when a loan is refinanced, because the new loan replaces, and is a continuation of, an earlier loan, the pattern of claims frequency for that new loan may be different from the historical pattern of other loans. As of December 31, 2004, 82.0% of the MGIC Book primary insurance in force had been written during 2002 - 2004, although a portion of such insurance arose from the refinancing of earlier originations.
In addition to the increasing level of claim activity arising from the maturing of the MGIC Book, another important factor affecting MGIC Book losses is the amount of the average claim paid, which is generally referred to as claim severity. The main determinants of claim severity are the amount of the mortgage loan and the coverage percentage on the loan. The average claim severity on the MGIC Book primary insurance was $24,438 for 2004 as compared to $22,925 in 2003 and $20,115 in 2002.
Loss Reserves
A significant period of time may elapse between the occurrence of the borrowers default on a mortgage payment (the event triggering a potential future claim payment by MGIC), the reporting of such default to MGIC and the eventual payment of the claim related to such uncured default. To recognize the liability for unpaid losses related to outstanding reported defaults (known as the default inventory), the Company, similar to other private mortgage insurers, establishes loss reserves, representing the estimated percentage of defaults which will ultimately result in a claim (known as the claim rate), and the estimated severity of the claims which will arise from the defaults included in the default inventory. In accordance with industry accounting practices, the Company does not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans which are not currently in default.
The Company also establishes reserves to provide for the estimated costs of settling claims, including legal and other fees, and general expenses of administering the claims settlement process (loss adjustment expenses), and for losses and loss adjustment expenses from defaults which have occurred, but which have not yet been reported to the insurer.
The Companys reserving process is based upon the assumption that past experience, adjusted for the anticipated effect of current economic conditions and projected future economic trends, provides a reasonable basis for estimating future events. However, estimation of loss reserves is inherently judgmental. Economic conditions that have affected the development of the loss reserves in the past may not necessarily affect development patterns in the future, in either a similar manner or degree.
For further information about loss reserves, see Managements Discussion and AnalysisResults of OperationsLosses in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K and Note 6 to the consolidated financial statements of the Company in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Geographic Dispersion
The following table reflects the percentage of primary risk in force in the top 10 states and top 10 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) for the MGIC Book at December 31, 2004:
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Dispersion of Primary Risk in Force
Top 10 States
Top 10 MSAs
The percentages shown above for various MSAs can be affected by changes, from time to time, in the federal governments definition of an MSA.
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Insurance in Force by Policy Year
The following table sets forth for the MGIC Book the dispersion of MGICs primary insurance in force as of December 31, 2004, by year(s) of policy origination since MGIC began operations in 1985:
Primary Insurance In Force by Policy Year
Risk Force and Product Characteristics of Risk in Force
At December 31, 2004 and 2003, 93.8% and 94.4%, respectively, of MGICs risk in force was primary insurance and the remaining risk in force was pool insurance. The following table sets forth for the MGIC Book the dispersion of MGICs primary risk in force as of December 31, 2004, by year(s) of policy origination since MGIC began operations in 1985:
Primary Risk In Force by Policy Year
The following table reflects at the dates indicated the (i) total dollar amount of primary risk in force for the MGIC Book and (ii) percentage of such primary risk in force (as determined on the basis of information available on the date of mortgage origination) by the categories indicated.
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Characteristics of Primary Risk in Force
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C. Other Business and Joint Ventures
The Company, through subsidiaries, provides various mortgage services for the mortgage finance industry, such as contract underwriting, portfolio retention and secondary marketing of mortgage-related assets. The Companys eMagic.com LLC subsidiary provides an Internet portal through which mortgage originators can access products and services of wholesalers, investors, and vendors necessary to make a home mortgage loan.
At December 31, 2004, the Company also owned approximately 46% of C-BASS and approximately 42% of Sherman, joint ventures with senior management of the joint ventures and Radian Group Inc. Effective January 1, 2003, the Company and Radian Group Inc. each sold 4 percentage points of their respective interest in Sherman to Shermans management for cash. For further information about C-BASS and Sherman (which are the principal joint ventures included in the Income from joint ventures, net of tax line in the Companys Consolidated Statement of Operations), see Managements Discussion and AnalysisResults of Operations in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K and Note 8 to the consolidated financial statements of the Company in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
In 1997, the Company, through subsidiaries, began insuring second mortgages, including home equity loans. New insurance written on second mortgages in 2002, 2001 and 2000 was approximately $37.8 million, $1.3 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively. The Company discontinued writing new second mortgage risk for loans closing after December 31, 2001.
D. Investment Portfolio
Policy and Strategy
Approximately 79% of the Companys long-term investment portfolio is managed by a subsidiary of The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company, although the Company maintains overall control of investment policy and strategy. The Company maintains direct management of the remainder of its investment portfolio.
The Companys current policies emphasize preservation of capital, as well as total return. Therefore, the Companys investment portfolio consists almost entirely of high-quality, fixed-income investments. Liquidity is sought through diversification and investment in publicly traded securities. The Company attempts to maintain a level of liquidity commensurate with its perceived business outlook and the expected timing, direction and degree of changes in interest rates. The Companys investment policies in effect at December 31, 2004 limited investments in the securities of a single issuer (other than the U.S. government) and generally limit the purchase of fixed income securities to those that are rated investment grade by at least one rating agency. At that date, the maximum aggregate book value of the holdings of a single obligor or non-government money market mutual fund was:
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* As used with respect to the Companys investment portfolio, Government Agencies include Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
At December 31, 2004, based on amortized cost, approximately 99.6% of the Companys total fixed income investment portfolio was invested in securities rated A or better, with 84.2% rated AAA and 14.7% rated AA, in each case by at least one nationally recognized securities rating organization.
The Companys investment policies and strategies are subject to change depending upon regulatory, economic and market conditions and the existing or anticipated financial condition and operating requirements, including the tax position, of the Company.
Investment Operations
At December 31, 2004, the market value of the Companys investment portfolio was approximately $5.6 billion. At December 31, 2004, municipal securities represented 81.2% of the market value of the total investment portfolio. Securities due within one year, within one to five years, within five to ten years, and after ten years, represented 4.0%, 18.2%, 21.6% and 56.2%, respectively, of the total book value of the Companys investment in debt securities. The Companys net pre-tax investment income was $215.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2004. The Companys after-tax yield for 2004 was 3.8%, which was comparable to the after-tax yield in 2003.
The ten largest holdings of the Company at December 31, 2004 appear in the table below:
Note: This table excludes U.S. Governments, Government Agencies and CMOs.
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The top ten sectors of the Companys investment portfolio appear in the table below:
For further information concerning investment operations, see Note 4 to the consolidated financial statements of the Company, included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
E. Regulation
Direct Regulation
The Company and its insurance subsidiaries, including MGIC, are subject to regulation, principally for the protection of policyholders, by the insurance departments of the various states in which each is licensed to do business. The nature and extent of such regulation varies, but generally depends on statutes which delegate regulatory, supervisory and administrative powers to state insurance commissioners.
In general, such regulation relates, among other things, to licenses to transact business; policy forms; premium rates; insurable loans; annual and other reports on financial condition; the basis upon which assets and liabilities must be stated; requirements regarding contingency reserves equal to 50% of premiums earned; minimum capital levels and adequacy ratios; reinsurance requirements; limitations on the types of investment instruments which may be held in an investment portfolio; the size of risks and limits on coverage of individual risks which may be insured; deposits of securities; limits on dividends payable; and claims handling. Most states also regulate transactions between insurance companies and their parents or affiliates and have restrictions on transactions that have the effect of inducing lenders to place business with the insurer. For a discussion of a February 1, 1999 circular letter from the NYID and a January 31, 2000 letter from the Illinois Department of Insurance, see The MGIC BookTypes of ProductPool Insurance, Risk Sharing Arrangements. For a description of limits on dividends payable, see Managements Discussion and AnalysisLiquidity and Capital Resources in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K and Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements of the Company in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Mortgage insurance premium rates are also subject to state regulation to protect policyholders against the adverse effects of excessive, inadequate or unfairly discriminatory rates and to encourage competition in the insurance marketplace. Any increase in premium rates must be justified, generally on the basis of the insurers loss experience, expenses and future trend
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analysis. The general mortgage default experience may also be considered. Premium rates are subject to review and challenge by state regulators.
A number of states generally limit the amount of insurance risk which may be written by a private mortgage insurer to 25 times the insurers total policyholders reserves, commonly known as the risk-to-capital requirement.
MGIC is required to establish a contingency loss reserve in an amount equal to 50% of earned premiums. Such amounts cannot be withdrawn for a period of 10 years, except under certain circumstances.
Mortgage insurers are generally single-line companies, restricted to writing residential mortgage insurance business only. Although the Company, as an insurance holding company, is prohibited from engaging in certain transactions with MGIC without submission to and, in some instances, prior approval of applicable insurance departments, the Company is not subject to insurance company regulation on its non-insurance businesses.
Wisconsins insurance regulations generally provide that no person may acquire control of the Company unless the transaction in which control is acquired has been approved by the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of Wisconsin. The regulations provide for a rebuttable presumption of control when a person owns or has the right to vote more than 10% of the voting securities.
As the most significant purchasers and sellers of conventional mortgage loans and beneficiaries of private mortgage insurance, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae impose requirements on private mortgage insurers in order for such insurers to be eligible to insure loans sold to such agencies. These requirements of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are subject to change from time to time. Currently, MGIC is an approved mortgage insurer for both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. In addition, to the extent Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac assumes default risk for itself that would otherwise be insured, changes current guarantee fee arrangements (including as a result of primary mortgage insurance coverage being restructured as described under The MGIC BookTypes of ProductPrimary Insurance), allows alternative credit enhancement, alters or liberalizes underwriting guidelines on low down payment mortgages they purchase, or otherwise changes its business practices or processes with respect to such mortgages, private mortgage insurers may be affected.
Fannie Mae has issued primary mortgage insurance master policy guidelines applicable to MGIC and all other Fannie Mae-approved private mortgage insurers, establishing certain minimum terms of coverage necessary in order for an insurer to be eligible to insure loans purchased by Fannie Mae. The terms of MGICs Master Policy comply with these guidelines.
In December 2003 Standard & Poors Rating Services (S&P) announced that it lowered MGICs financial strength rating to AA from AA+ and the Companys long-term
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counterparty credit rating to A from A+ because of a weakening of MGICs operating performance from a very strong to a strong level, as well as rising delinquencies. In addition, the level of risk in MGICs book of business is increasing relative to its peers, in part due to the growth in its bulk in-force book, which has grown to about 25% of the total in-force. S&P said in its announcement that the outlook for MGICs and the Companys ratings was stable. Shortly before S&Ps announcement, Moodys Investors Service and Fitch Ratings reaffirmed their respective Aa2 and AA+ financial strength ratings of MGIC.
Maintenance of a financial strength rating of at least AA-/Aa3 is critical to a mortgage insurers ability to continue to write new business. In assigning financial strength ratings, in addition to considering the adequacy of the mortgage insurers capital to withstand extreme loss scenarios under assumptions determined by the rating agency, rating agencies review a mortgage insurers historical and projected operating performance, business outlook, competitive position, management, corporate strategy, and other factors. The rating agency issuing the financial strength rating can withdraw or change its rating at any time.
Indirect Regulation
The Company and MGIC are also indirectly, but significantly, impacted by regulations affecting purchasers of mortgage loans, such as Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, and regulations affecting governmental insurers, such as the FHA and VA, and lenders. Private mortgage insurers, including MGIC, are highly dependent upon federal housing legislation and other laws and regulations to the extent they affect the demand for private mortgage insurance and the housing market generally. From time to time, those laws and regulations have been amended to affect competition from government agencies. Proposals are discussed from time to time by Congress and certain federal agencies to reform or modify the FHA and the Government National Mortgage Association, which securitizes mortgages insured by the FHA.
Subject to certain exceptions, in general, RESPA prohibits any person from giving or receiving any thing of value pursuant to an agreement or understanding to refer settlement services. See Managements Discussion and Analysis Risk Factors The mortgage insurance industry is subject to litigation risk.
The OTS, the OCC, the Federal Reserve Board, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation have uniform guidelines on real estate lending by insured lending institutions under their supervision. The guidelines specify that a residential mortgage loan originated with an LTV of 90% or greater should have appropriate credit enhancement in the form of mortgage insurance or readily marketable collateral, although no depth of coverage percentage is specified in the guidelines.
Lenders are subject to various laws, including the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, the Community Reinvestment Act and the Fair Housing Act, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are subject to various laws, including laws relating to government sponsored enterprises, which may impose obligations or create incentives for increased lending to low and moderate income persons, or in targeted areas.
There can be no assurance that other federal laws and regulations affecting such institutions and entities will not change, or that new legislation or regulations will not be adopted which will adversely affect the private mortgage insurance industry. In this regard, see the penultimate risk factor under Managements Discussion and Analysis Risk Factors in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
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F. Employees
At December 31, 2004, the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries had approximately 1,200 full- and part-time employees, of whom approximately 36% were assigned to MGICs field offices. The number of employees given above does not include on-call employees. The number of on-call employees can vary substantially, primarily as a result of changes in demand for contract underwriting services.
G. Website Access
The Company makes available, free of charge, through its Internet website its Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as soon as reasonably practicable after the Company electronically files such material with the SEC. The address of the Companys website is www.mgic.com, and such reports and amendments are accessible through the Investor link at such address.
Item 2. Properties.
At December 31, 2004, the Company leased office space in various cities throughout the United States under leases expiring between 2005 and 2009 and which required annual rentals of $3.3 million in 2004.
The Company owns its headquarters facility and an additional office/warehouse facility, both located in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, which contain an aggregate of approximately 310,000 square feet of space.
Item 3. Legal Proceedings.
The Company is involved in litigation in the ordinary course of business. In the opinion of management, the ultimate resolution of this pending litigation will not have a material adverse effect on the financial position or results of operations of the Company.
In March 2003 an action against MGIC was filed in Federal District Court in Orlando, Florida seeking certification of a nationwide class of consumers who were required to pay for private mortgage insurance written by MGIC and whose loans were insured at less than MGICs best available rate based on credit scores obtained by MGIC. The action alleged that the Federal Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) requires a notice to borrowers of such adverse action and that MGIC has violated FCRA by failing to give such notice. The action sought statutory damages (which in the case of willful violations, in addition to punitive damages, may be awarded in an amount of $100 to $1,000 per class member) and/or actual damages of the persons in the class, and attorneys fees, as well as declaratory and injunctive relief. The action also alleged that the failure to give notice to borrowers in Florida in the circumstances alleged was a violation of Floridas Unfair and Deceptive Acts and Practices Act and sought declaratory and injunctive relief for such violation. Similar actions were commenced against six other mortgage insurers.
In December 2003, the Court denied MGICs motion seeking dismissal of the portion of the case covering damages under FCRA but dismissed the remainder of the case. In June 2004, the
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Court denied the plaintiffs motion to certify the class. In December 2004, MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims and their action was dismissed with prejudice. There can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to further litigation under FCRA.
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Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
None.
Executive Officers
Certain information with respect to the Companys executive officers as of March 1, 2005 is set forth below:
Mr. Culver has served as President of the Company since January 1999, as Chief Executive Officer since January 2000 and as Chairman of the Board since January 2005. He has been President of MGIC since May 1996 and was Chief Operating Officer of MGIC from May 1996 until he became Chief Executive Officer in January 1999. Mr. Culver has been a senior officer of MGIC since 1988 having responsibility at various times during his career with MGIC for field operations, marketing and corporate development. From March 1985 to 1988, he held various management positions with MGIC in the areas of marketing and sales.
Mr. Lauer has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company and MGIC since March 1989.
Mr. Sinks has served as Executive Vice President-Field Operations of MGIC since January 2004 and was Senior Vice President-Field Operations of MGIC from July 2002 to January 2004. From March 1985 to July 2002, he held various positions within MGICs finance and accounting organization, the last of which was Senior Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer.
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Mr. Pierzchalski has served as Executive Vice President-Risk Management of MGIC since May 1996 and prior thereto as Senior Vice President-Risk Management or Vice President-Risk Management of MGIC from April 1990. From March 1985 to April 1990, he held various management positions with MGIC in the areas of market research, corporate planning and risk management.
Mr. Karpowicz has served as Senior Vice PresidentChief Investment Officer and Treasurer of the Company and MGIC since January, 2005 and has been Treasurer since 1998. From 1986 to January, 2005, he held various positions within MGICs investment operations organization, the last of which was Vice President.
Mr. Lane has served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of the Company and MGIC since August 1996. For more than five years prior to his joining the Company, Mr. Lane was a partner of Foley & Lardner, a law firm headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Mr. Meade has served as Senior Vice PresidentInformation Services and Chief Information Officer since February 1992. From 1985 to 1992 he held various positions within MGICs information services organization, the last of which was Vice PresidentInformation Services.
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PART II
Item 5. Market for Registrants Common Equity and Related Stockholder Matters.
(a) The Companys Common Stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol MTG. The following table sets forth for 2003 and 2004 by calendar quarter the high and low sales prices of the Common Stock on the New York Stock Exchange Composite Tape.
In 2003 and 2004 the Company declared and paid the following cash dividends:
The Company is a holding company and the payment of dividends from its insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulation. For a discussion of these restrictions, see the sixth paragraph under Managements Discussion and Analysis Liquidity and Capital Resources in Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K and Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, which are incorporated by reference.
As of February 10, 2005, the number of shareholders of record was 160. In addition, the Company estimates there are approximately 200,000 beneficial owners of shares held by brokers and fiduciaries.
Information regarding equity compensation plans is contained in Item 12 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
(b) Not applicable.
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(c) Information about shares of Common Stock repurchased during the fourth quarter of 2004 appears in the table below.
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Item 6. Selected Financial Data.
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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Overview
Business and General Environment
The Company, through its subsidiary Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), is the leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry. The Companys principal products are primary mortgage insurance and pool mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage insurance may be written through the flow market channel, in which loans are insured in individual, loan-by-loan transactions. Primary mortgage insurance may also be written through the bulk market channel, in which portfolios of loans, are individually insured in single, bulk transactions.
The Companys results of operations are affected by:
Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the period. Hence, lower average insurance in force in one period compared to another is a factor that will reduce premiums written and earned, although this effect may be mitigated (or enhanced) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by premium that is ceded. Also, NIW and cancellations during a period will generally have a greater effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent periods than in the period in which these events occur.
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securities. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio and its yield.
Losses incurred are the expense that results from a payment delinquency on an insured loan. As explained under Critical Accounting Policies below, this expense is recognized only when a loan is delinquent. Losses incurred are generally affected by:
The operating expenses of the Company generally vary primarily due to contract underwriting volume, which in turn generally varies with the level of mortgage origination activity. Contract underwriting generates fee income included in other revenue.
The Companys results of operations are also affected by income from joint ventures. Joint venture income principally consists of the aggregate results of the Companys investment in two less than majority owned joint ventures, C-BASS and Sherman.
C-BASS: C-BASS is primarily an investor in the credit risk of credit-sensitive single-family residential mortgages. It finances these activities through borrowings included on its balance sheet and by securitization activities generally conducted through off-balance sheet entities. C-BASS generally retains the first-loss and other subordinate securities created in the securitization. The loans owned by C-BASS and underlying C-BASSs mortgage securities investments are serviced by Litton Loan Servicing, a subsidiary of C-BASS. Littons servicing operations primarily support C-BASSs investment in credit risk, and investments made by funds managed or co-managed by C-BASS, rather than generating fees for servicing loans owned by third-parties.
C-BASSs consolidated results of operations are affected by:
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Sherman: Sherman is principally engaged in the business of purchasing and collecting for its own account delinquent consumer assets which are primarily unsecured. The borrowings used to finance these activities are included in Shermans balance sheet.
Shermans consolidated results of operations are affected by:
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2004 Results
The Companys results of operations in 2004 were principally affected by:
In 2004, compared to 2003, losses incurred decreased primarily due to a decrease in the delinquency inventory compared to the prior period increase. This decrease in delinquency inventory was in part offset by increases in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will eventually result in a claim and how much will be paid on claims.
During 2004, the Companys written and earned premiums were lower than in 2003 due to a decline in the average insurance in force, as well as a decrease in NIW through the flow and bulk channels.
During 2004, investment income was higher than in 2003 due to an increase in the average investment portfolio.
Underwriting and other expenses decreased in 2004, compared to 2003, primarily as a result of decreases in expenses related to contract underwriting activity.
Income from joint ventures increased in 2004, compared to 2003, due to higher income from each of Sherman and C-BASS which was driven by growth in their respective assets.
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Results of Operations
As discussed under Risk Factors below, actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements it may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document.
NIW
The amount of MGICs NIW (this term is defined in the Overview-Business and General Environment section) during the years ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002 was as follows:
The decrease in NIW on a flow basis in 2004 was primarily the result of a decrease in refinance volume. Refinance volume in turn is driven by changes in interest rates as discussed with respect to cancellations below. For a discussion of NIW written through the bulk channel, see Bulk transactions below. The Company expects NIW in 2005 to approximate NIW in 2004.
The increase in NIW on a flow basis in 2003, compared to 2002, was related to the increase in refinance volume from 2002 to 2003.
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Cancellations and insurance in force
NIW and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three years ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002, and the direct primary insurance in force at the end of each of those years was as follows:
Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. MGICs persistency rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior) of 60.2% at December 31, 2004 increased from 47.1% at December 31, 2003 and 56.8% at December 31, 2002. The Company expects modest improvement in the persistency rate in 2005, although this expectation assumes the absence of significant declines in the level of mortgage interest rates from their level in late February 2005.
Cancellation activity increased in 2003, compared to 2002, principally due to the lower interest rate environment.
Bulk transactions
The Companys writings of bulk insurance are in part sensitive to the volume of securitization transactions involving non-conforming loans. The Companys writings of bulk insurance are also sensitive to competition from other methods of providing credit enhancement in a securitization, including an execution in which the subordinate tranches in the securitization rather than mortgage insurance bear the first loss from mortgage defaults. Competition from such an execution in turn depends on, among other factors, the yield at which investors are willing to purchase tranches of the securitization that involve a higher degree of credit risk compared to the yield for tranches involving the lowest credit risk (the difference in such yields is referred to as the spread) and the amount of credit for losses that a rating agency will give to mortgage insurance, which may be affected by the agencys view of the outlook for the insurers claims-paying ability. As the spread narrows, competition from an execution in which the subordinate tranches bear the first loss increases. The competitiveness of the mortgage insurance execution in the bulk channel may also be impacted by changes in the Companys view of the risk of the
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business, which is affected by the historical performance of previously insured pools and the Companys expectations for regional and local real estate values. As a result of the sensitivities discussed above, bulk volume can vary materially from period to period.
The spread referred to above was narrower in 2004 compared to 2003 and, along with continued competition from other mortgage insurers, adversely affected the competitiveness of the mortgage insurance execution during the year. The competitiveness of the Companys bulk offering was enhanced beginning in the third quarter of 2004 by, among other things, changes in MGICs expectations for losses on certain types of loans to reflect better than expected historical performance of such loan types. As it has in past years, the Company priced the bulk business written in 2004 to generate acceptable returns; there can be no assurance, however, that the assumptions underlying the premium rates will achieve this objective.
NIW during 2003 for bulk transactions was higher than NIW during 2002 primarily due to the more favorable spread referred to above.
Pool insurance
In addition to providing primary insurance coverage, the Company also insures pools of mortgage loans. New pool risk written during the years ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002 was $208 million, $862 million and $674 million, respectively. The Companys direct pool risk in force was $3.0 billion, $2.9 billion and $2.6 billion at December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively. These risk amounts are contractual aggregate loss limits and for contracts without such limits, risk is calculated at the estimated amount that would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA level based on a rating agency model. At December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002, there was $4.9 billion, $4.9 billion and $3.0 billion, respectively, of risk without such limits for which risk in force was calculated on this basis at $418 million, $353 million and $161 million, respectively. During the years ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002, new risk written calculated on this basis was $65 million, $192 million and $147 million, respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
Net premiums written and earned during 2004 decreased, compared to 2003, due to a decline in the average insurance in force, as well as a decrease in new insurance written through the flow and bulk channels. The Company expects the average insurance in force during 2005 to be lower than during 2004. As a result, the Company anticipates that net premiums written and earned in 2005 will decline compared to 2004.
Net premiums written and earned increased in 2003 compared to 2002 primarily as a result of a higher percentage of premiums on products with higher premium rates, principally on insurance written through the bulk channel.
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Risk sharing arrangements
Through the nine months ended September 30, 2004, approximately 50.8% of the Companys new insurance written on a flow basis was subject to captive reinsurance arrangements with subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders or risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs (collectively, risk sharing arrangements) compared to 52.3% for the year ended December 31, 2003 and 53.8% for the year ended December 31, 2002. (New insurance written through the bulk channel is not subject to risk sharing arrangements.) The percentage of new insurance written during a period covered by risk sharing arrangements normally increases after the end of the period because, among other reasons, the transfer of a loan in the secondary market can result in a mortgage insured during a period becoming part of a risk sharing arrangement in a subsequent period. Therefore, the percentage of new insurance written covered by risk sharing arrangements is not shown for the current quarter. Premiums ceded in risk sharing arrangements are reported in the period in which they are ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured. During the three years ended December 31, 2002, 2003 and 2004, MGIC ceded $83.7 million, $99.4 million and $101.7 million of written premium in captive reinsurance arrangements.
Investment income
Investment income for 2004 increased due to an increase in the amortized cost of average invested assets to $5.2 billion for 2004 from $4.7 billion for 2003. The portfolios average pre-tax investment yield was 4.3% at December 31, 2004 and 2003. The portfolios average after-tax investment yield was 3.8% at December 31, 2004 and 2003. The Companys net realized gains in 2004 and 2003 resulted primarily from the sale of fixed maturities. As discussed in Note 2 New Accounting Standards to the Companys consolidated financial statements, the impact of the final issuance of proposed FSP EITF 03-1-a cannot be determined at this time. Under the proposed guidance, it may be more likely that a decrease in the market value of certain investments in the Companys fixed income portfolio will be required to be recognized as a realized loss in the statement of operations than under the existing accounting standard.
Investment income in 2003 decreased compared to 2002 due to a decrease in the average investment yield, offset by an increase in the amortized cost of average invested assets to $4.7 billion for 2003 from $4.2 billion for 2002. At December 31, 2002, the portfolios average pre-tax investment yield was 4.7% and the portfolios after-tax investment yield was 4.2%. The Companys net realized gains in 2002 resulted primarily from the sale of fixed maturities.
Other revenue
The decrease in other revenue in 2004, compared to 2003, is primarily the result of decreased revenue from contract underwriting due to a lower level of mortgage origination activity during 2004 compared to 2003.
The increase in other revenue in 2003, compared to 2002, is primarily the result of increased revenue from contract underwriting.
Losses
As discussed in Critical Accounting Policies below, consistent with industry practice, loss reserves for future claims are established only for loans that are currently delinquent. (The terms
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delinquent and default are used interchangeably by the Company and are defined as an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due.) Loss reserves are established by managements estimating the number of loans in the Companys inventory of delinquent loans that will not cure their delinquency (historically, a substantial majority of delinquent loans have cured), which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount that the Company will pay in claims on the loans that do not cure, which is referred to as claim severity. Estimation of losses that the Company will pay in the future is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy and the current and future strength of local housing markets.
In 2004, net losses incurred were $701 million, of which $714 million pertained to current year loss development and ($13) million pertained to prior years loss development. In 2003, net losses incurred were $766 million, of which $652 million pertained to current year loss development and $114 million pertained to prior years loss development.
The amount of losses incurred pertaining to current year loss development represents the estimated amount to be ultimately paid on default notices received in the current year. Losses incurred pertaining to the current year increased in 2004, compared to 2003, primarily due to increases in the estimates regarding how many primary default notices will eventually result in a claim and how much will be paid on claims. These increases in estimates relate to current trends in the default inventory such as an increase in defaults in the Midwest, which experienced higher claim rates and claim severity in 2004, as well as an increase in defaults on the 2003 book of business which has higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments. These increases in estimates were partially offset by a decrease in the total number of default notices compared to the prior period increase in notices.
The amount of losses incurred pertaining to prior year loss development represents actual claim payments that were higher or lower than what was estimated by the Company at the end of the prior year as well as a re-estimation of amounts to be ultimately paid on defaults remaining in inventory from the end of the prior year. This re-estimation is the result of managements review of current trends in default inventory, such as defaults that have resulted in a claim, the amount of the claim, the change in relative level of defaults by geography and the change in average loan exposure. In 2004, the $13 million reduction in losses incurred pertaining to prior years was due primarily to more stable loss trends experienced during the year. In 2003, there were significant increases in the rate at which the defaults went to claim (claim rate) and significant increases in individual claim amounts (severity). Management believes these increases were attributable to such factors as an increase in defaults with higher risk characteristics, higher average loan amounts and deeper coverages. As a result of these trends, there was a $114 million increase, in 2003, in losses incurred pertaining to prior years.
Subject to the level of delinquencies in 2005, the Company expects that incurred losses during full year 2005 will approximate the level of 2004.
Losses incurred increased in 2003 compared to 2002. This increase was principally the result of a higher number of defaults (both bulk and flow) and increases in the estimates regarding how many defaults will eventually result in a claim and how much will be paid on claims.
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002 appears in the table below.
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The average primary claim paid for 2004 was $24,438 compared to $22,925 in 2003 and $20,115 in 2002.
The pool notice inventory decreased from 28,135 at December 31, 2003 to 25,500 at December 31, 2004; the pool notice inventory was 26,676 at December 31, 2002.
Information about net losses paid in 2004, 2003 and 2002 appears in the table below.
As of December 31, 2004, 82% of the Companys primary insurance in force was written subsequent to December 31, 2001. On the Companys flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third through fifth year after the year of loan origination. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be affected by many factors, including low persistency (which can have the effect of accelerating the period in the life of a book during which the highest claim frequency occurs) and deteriorating economic conditions (which can result in increasing claims following a period of declining claims). The Company expects the period of
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highest claims frequency on bulk loans will occur earlier than in the historical pattern on the Companys flow business.
Underwriting and other expenses
The decrease in underwriting and other expenses in 2004 is primarily attributable to decreases in expenses related to contract underwriting activity when compared to 2003.
The increase in underwriting and other expenses in 2003, compared to 2002, was primarily attributable to increases in expenses related to insurance and contract underwriting activity.
Consolidated ratios
The table below presents the Companys consolidated loss, expense and combined ratios for the periods indicated.
The loss ratio (expressed as a percentage) is the ratio of the sum of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The expense ratio (expressed as a percentage) is the ratio of underwriting expenses to net premiums written. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
Income taxes
The effective tax rate was 26.9% in 2004, compared to 25.4% in 2003 and 29.5% in 2002. During those periods, the effective tax rate was below the statutory rate of 35%, reflecting the benefits recognized from tax preferenced investments. Tax preferenced investments of the Company include tax-exempt municipal bonds, interests in mortgage related securities with flow through characteristics and investments in real estate ventures which generate low income housing credits. The higher effective tax rate in 2004 compared to 2003 was principally due to less benefits being recognized from these investments.
The lower effective tax rate in 2003, compared to 2002, principally resulted from a higher percentage of total income before tax being generated from tax-preferenced investments.
Joint ventures
The Companys equity in the earnings from the C-BASS and Sherman joint ventures with Radian Group Inc. and certain other joint ventures and investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting, is shown separately, net of tax, on the Companys consolidated statement of operations. The increase in income from joint ventures in 2004, compared to 2003, as well as the increase in 2003, compared to 2002, is primarily the result of
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increased equity earnings from each of Sherman and C-BASS.
C-BASS
C-BASS is a mortgage investment and servicing firm specializing in credit-sensitive single-family residential mortgage assets and residential mortgage-backed securities. C-BASS principally invests in whole loans (including subprime loans) and mezzanine and subordinated residential mortgage-backed securities backed by non-conforming residential mortgage loans. C-BASSs principal sources of revenues during the last three years were net interest income (including accretion on mortgage securities), servicing fees, money management fees from C-BASS CBOs and investment funds sponsored by C-BASS, and gains on securitization and liquidation of mortgage-related assets, offset by hedging losses. C-BASSs quarterly results of operations may be affected by the timing of its securitization transactions.
Virtually all of C-BASSs assets do not have readily ascertainable market values and, as a result, their value for financial statement purposes is estimated by the management of C-BASS based on, among other things, valuations provided by financing counterparties. The ultimate value of these assets is the net present value of their future cash flows, which depends on, among other things, the level of losses on the mortgages or underlying collateral and prepayment activity by the mortgage borrowers or other persons obligated on the collateral. Fair value adjustments could impact C-BASSs results of operations and the Companys share of those results. In addition, there can be no assurance that C-BASSs portfolio of mortgage loans and mortgage and other securities could be sold for their carrying values in C-BASSs balance sheet, particularly if substantial portions of the portfolio were being sold.
Summary C-BASS balance sheets and income statements at the dates and for the periods indicated appear below.
Summary Balance Sheets:
Included in total assets and total liabilities at December 31, 2004 and 2003 are approximately $457 million and $331 million, respectively of assets and the same amount of liabilities from securitizations that did not qualify for off-balance sheet treatment. The liabilities from these securitizations are not included in Debt in the table above.
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Summary Income Statements:
The increased contribution from C-BASS in 2004 compared to 2003 was primarily due to an increase in gains on sales and liquidation to third parties of securities and mortgage loans, higher net interest income, higher mark-to-market from calls by C-BASS of CBO securitizations and lower hedging losses. Gains on sale and liquidation to third parties increased principally due to calls of securities at par which had a book value below par. Higher net interest income was principally the result of a higher average portfolio of mortgage loans. Higher mark-to-market and lower hedging losses were reflective of changes in interest rates. The increased contribution from C-BASS in 2003 compared to 2002 was principally attributable to a higher average portfolio of mortgage loans.
The Companys investment in C-BASS on an equity basis at December 31, 2004 was $285.2 million. The Company received $32.5 million in distributions from C-BASS during 2004 versus $15.0 million during 2003.
The Company does not anticipate that C-BASSs income before tax in 2005 will exceed its income before tax in 2004. However, the first quarter of 2005 is expected to be stronger than the first quarter of 2004, assuming there is no significant decline in the level of short term interest rates during March 2005.
Sherman
Sherman is principally engaged in the business of purchasing and servicing delinquent consumer assets such as charged-off credit card loans and Chapter 13 bankruptcy debt. A substantial portion of Shermans consolidated assets are investments in consumer receivable portfolios that do not have readily ascertainable market values. Shermans results of operations are sensitive to estimates by Shermans management of ultimate collections on these portfolios. Effective January 1, 2003, the Company sold four percentage points of its interest in Sherman to Shermans management for cash, reducing the Companys interest in Sherman to 41.5%.
Summary Sherman balance sheets and income statements at the dates and for the periods indicated appear below.
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In mid-January 2005, Sherman distributed $125 million to its owners, reducing membersequity on a pro forma basis for this distribution to $114 million. The Companys investment in Sherman on an equity basis at December 31, 2004 was $97.0 million and on a pro forma basis for this distribution is $45.1 million. The Company received $49.8 million in distributions from Sherman during 2004 compared to $12.5 million during 2003.
In March 2005, Sherman acquired the holding company for First National Bank of Marin for a payment of cash and subordinated notes. This acquisition materially increased Shermans consolidated assets as well as its debt and financial leverage. In 2004, the Bank was the 43rd largest credit card issuer in the United States, as measured by the amount of receivables generated. The Banks operations following the acquisition will consist of originating subprime credit cards.
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The increased contribution from Sherman during 2004 compared to 2003 and during 2003 compared to 2002 was primarily due to increased net revenue from receivable portfolios owned during the comparison periods attributable to continuing collections and lower amortization on those portfolios, and from higher collections due to growth in the amount of receivable portfolios owned by Sherman in sequential periods. The Company does not anticipate that Shermans income before tax in 2005 will exceed its income before tax in 2004. However, the first quarter of 2005 is expected to be materially stronger than the first quarter of 2004.
Other Matters
Under the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversights (OFHEO) risk-based capital stress test for the GSEs, claim payments made by a private mortgage insurer on GSE loans are reduced below the amount provided by the mortgage insurance policy to reflect the risk that the insurer will fail to pay. Claim payments from an insurer whose claims-paying ability rating is AAA are subject to a 3.5% reduction over the 10-year period of the stress test, while claim payments from a AA rated insurer, such as MGIC, are subject to an 8.75% reduction. The effect of the differentiation among insurers is to require the GSEs to have additional capital for coverage on loans provided by a private mortgage insurer whose claims-paying rating is less than AAA. As a result, there is an incentive for the GSEs to use private mortgage insurance provided by a AAA rated insurer.
Financial Condition
The Company had $300 million, 7.5% Senior Notes due in October 2005 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in 2007 outstanding at December 31, 2004 and 2003. The Company intends to refinance the $300 million of Senior Notes through the issuance of senior debt. In March 2005, the Company obtained a bank commitment for a credit facility of $300 million expiring on the earlier of 364 days after the closing of the facility or the repayment of the 7.5% Senior Notes. The Company intends to draw upon this facility to refinance these Senior Notes if they cannot otherwise be refinanced. At December 31, 2004 and 2003, the market value of the Companys outstanding debt was $661.3 million and $644.3 million, respectively.
See Results of Operations Joint ventures above for information about the financial condition of C-BASS and Sherman.
As of December 31, 2004, 79% of the investment portfolio was invested in tax-preferenced securities. In addition, based on book value, the Companys fixed income securities were approximately 99% invested in A rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated in maturities of less than 15 years.
At December 31, 2004, the Companys derivative financial instruments in its investment portfolio were immaterial. The Company places its investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as specified in the Companys investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At December 31, 2004, the effective duration of the Companys fixed income investment portfolio was 5.5 years. This means that for an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points there would be an approximate 5.5% change in the market value of the Companys fixed income portfolio.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
The Companys consolidated sources of funds consist primarily of premiums written and investment income. Positive cash flows are invested pending future payments of claims and other expenses. Management believes that future cash inflows from premiums will be sufficient to meet future claim payments. Cash flow shortfalls, if any, could be funded through sales of short-term investments and other investment portfolio securities subject to insurance regulatory requirements regarding the payment of dividends to the extent funds were required by other than the seller. Substantially all of the investment portfolio securities are held by the Companys insurance subsidiaries.
The Company has a $285 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by Standard & Poors Rating Services and P-1 by Moodys Investors Service. At December 31, 2004 and 2003, the Company had $139.5 million and $100.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 2.36% and 1.18%, respectively.
The Company had a $285 million credit facility available at December 31, 2004 expiring in May 2006. Under the terms of the credit facility, the Company must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25 billion and MGIC must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and policyholders position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulation. At December 31, 2004, the Company met these requirements. The facility is currently being used as a liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. The remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount necessary to support the commercial paper was $145.5 million and $185.0 million at December 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
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In May 2002, a swap designated as a cash flow hedge was amended to coincide with the credit facility. Under the terms of the swap contract, the Company pays a fixed rate of 5.43% and receives an interest rate based on LIBOR. The swap has an expiration date coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and is designated as a cash flow hedge. The cash flow swap outstanding at December 31, 2004 and 2003 is evaluated quarterly using regression analysis with any ineffectiveness being recorded as an expense. To date this evaluation has not resulted in any hedge ineffectiveness. Swaps are subject to credit risk to the extent the counterparty would be unable to discharge its obligations under the swap agreements.
Expense on the interest rate swaps during 2004, 2003 and 2002 of approximately $3.3 million, $3.4 million and $1.8 million, respectively, was included in interest expense. Gains or losses arising from the amendment or termination of previously held interest rate swaps are deferred and amortized to interest expense over the life of the hedged items.
The commercial paper, back-up credit facility and the Senior Notes are obligations of the Company and not of its subsidiaries. The Company is a holding company and the payment of dividends from its insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the principal source of dividend-paying capacity. In 2005, MGIC can pay up to $177.7 million in dividends without the approval of the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin.
During 2004, the Company repurchased 3.1 million shares of Common Stock under publicly announced programs at a cost of $205.0 million. At December 31, 2004, the Company had authority covering the purchase of an additional 4.6 million shares under these programs. From mid-1997 through December 31, 2004, the Company has repurchased 26.8 million shares under publicly announced programs at a cost of $1.4 billion. Funds for the shares repurchased by the Company since mid-1997 have been provided through a combination of debt, including the Senior Notes and the commercial paper, and internally generated funds.
The Companys principal exposure to loss is its obligation to pay claims under MGICs mortgage guaranty insurance policies. At December 31, 2004, MGICs direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool risk in force (which is the unpaid or original principal balance of insured loans as reflected in the Companys records multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit) was approximately $53.5 billion. In addition, as part of its contract underwriting activities, the Company is responsible for the quality of its underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. Through December 31, 2004, the cost of remedies provided by the Company to customers for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material. However, the decreasing trend of home mortgage interest rates over the last several years may have mitigated the effect of some of these costs since the general effect of lower interest rates can be to increase the value of certain loans on which remedies are provided. There can be no assurance that contract underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
The Companys consolidated risk-to-capital ratio was 7.9:1 at December 31, 2004 compared to 9.4:1 at December 31, 2003. The decrease was due to an increase in capital and a decrease in risk in force during 2004.
The risk-to-capital ratios set forth above have been computed on a statutory basis. However, the methodology used by the rating agencies to assign claims-paying ability ratings permits less
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leverage than under statutory requirements. As a result, the amount of capital required under statutory regulations may be lower than the capital required for rating agency purposes. In addition to capital adequacy, the rating agencies consider other factors in determining a mortgage insurers claims-paying rating, including its historical and projected operating performance, business outlook, competitive position, management and corporate strategy.
For certain material risks of the Companys business, see Risk Factors below.
Contractual Obligations
At December 31, 2004, the approximate future payments under the contractual obligations of the Company of the type described in the table below are as follows:
The Companys long-term debt obligations consist of $300 million, 7.5% Senior Notes due in October 2005 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in 2007, as discussed in Note 5, Short- and long-term debt to the Companys consolidated financial statements and under Liquidity and Capital Resources above. The Companys operating lease obligations include operating leases on certain office space, data processing equipment and autos, as discussed in Note 12, Leases to the Companys consolidated financial statements. The Companys purchase obligations include obligations to purchase computer software, home office furniture and equipment.
The Companys Other long-term liabilities represent the loss reserves established to recognize the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to defaults on insured mortgage loans. The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant judgment by management. The future loss payment periods are estimated based on historical experience.
Critical Accounting Policies
The Company believes that the accounting policies described below involved significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of its consolidated financial statements.
Loss reserves
Reserves are established for reported insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses based on when notices of default on insured mortgage loans are received. A default is defined as an
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insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due. Reserves are also established for estimated losses incurred on notices of default not yet reported. Consistent with industry practices, the Company does not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans which are not currently in default.
Reserves are established by management using estimated claims rates and claims amounts in estimating the ultimate loss. The estimated claims rates and claims amounts represent what management believes best reflect the estimate of what will actually be paid on the loans in default. These estimates are based on managements review of trends in the default inventory, such as defaults that have resulted in a claim, the amount of the claim, the change in the level of defaults by geography and the change in average loan exposure. Amounts for salvage recoverable are considered in the determination of the reserve estimates. The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant judgment by management. Adjustments to reserve estimates are reflected in the financial statements in the years in which the adjustments are made. The liability for reinsurance assumed is based on information provided by the ceding companies.
The incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves referred to above result from defaults occurring prior to the close of an accounting period, but which have not been reported to the Company. Consistent with reserves for reported defaults, IBNR reserves are established using estimated claims rates and claims amounts for the estimated number of defaults not reported. As of December 31, 2004 and 2003, the Company has established IBNR reserves in the amount of $113 million and $94 million, respectively.
Reserves also provide for the estimated costs of settling claims, including legal and other expenses and general expenses of administering the claims settlement process.
Revenue recognition
When the policy term ends, the primary mortgage insurance written by the Company is renewable at the insureds option through continued payment of the premium in accordance with the schedule established at the inception of the policy term. The Company has no ability to reunderwrite or reprice these policies after issuance. Premiums written under policies having single and annual premium payments are initially deferred as unearned premium reserve and earned over the policy term. Premiums written on policies covering more than one year are amortized over the policy life in accordance with the expiration of risk which is the anticipated claim payment pattern based on historical experience. Premiums written on annual policies are earned on a monthly pro rata basis. Premiums written on monthly policies are earned as the monthly coverage is provided. When a policy is cancelled, all premium that is non-refundable is immediately earned. Any refundable premium is returned to the lender and will have no effect on earned premium. Policy cancellations also lower the persistency rate which is a variable used in calculating the rate of amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs discussed below.
Fee income of the non-insurance subsidiaries is earned and recognized as the services are provided and the customer is obligated to pay.
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
Costs associated with the acquisition of mortgage insurance policies, consisting of employee compensation and other policy issuance and underwriting expenses, are initially deferred and
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reported as deferred insurance policy acquisition costs (DAC). DAC arising from each book of business is charged against revenue in the same proportion that the underwriting profit for the period of the charge bears to the total underwriting profit over the life of the policies. The underwriting profit and the life of the policies are estimated and are reviewed quarterly and updated when necessary to reflect actual experience and any changes to key variables such as persistency or loss development. Interest is accrued on the unamortized balance of DAC.
Risk Factors
The Companys revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors discussed below that are applicable to the Company, and the Companys income from joint ventures could be affected by the risk factors discussed below that are applicable to C-BASS and Sherman. These risk factors are an integral part of Managements Discussion and Analysis.
These risk factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that the Company may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words such as the Company believes, anticipates or expects, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements it may make.
The amount of insurance the Company writes could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
While no data is publicly available, the Company believes that 80-10-10 loans and related products are a significant percentage of mortgage originations in which borrowers make down payments of less than 20% and that their use, which the Company believes is primarily by borrowers with higher credit scores, continues to increase. During the fourth quarter of 2004, the Company introduced on a national basis a program designed to recapture business lost to these mortgage insurance avoidance products but there can be no assurance that it will be successful.
Deterioration in the domestic economy or changes in the mix of business may result in more homeowners defaulting and the Companys losses increasing.
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Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale. Favorable economic conditions generally reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values.
The mix of business the Company writes also affects the likelihood of losses occurring. In recent years, the percentage of the Companys volume written on a flow basis that includes segments the Company views as having a higher probability of claim has continued to increase. These segments include loans with LTV ratios over 95% (including loans with 100% LTV ratios), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors.
Approximately 8% of the Companys risk in force written through the flow channel, and more than half of the Companys risk in force written through the bulk channel, consists of ARMs. The Company believes that during a prolonged period of rising interest rates, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans, although the performance of ARMs has not been tested in such an environment. In addition, the Company believes the volume of interest-only loans has recently increased. Because interest-only loans are a relatively recent development, the Company has no data on their historical performance. The Company believes claim rates on certain interest-only loans will be substantially higher than on comparable loans requiring amortization. Interest-only loans may also be ARMs.
The performance of the servicing function on a mortgage loan, particularly a subprime loan, can affect the likelihood that the loan will default as well as the loss resulting from a default. The Company believes Select Portfolio Servicing (Select) f/k/a Fairbanks Capital Corp. is the servicer of approximately 1.0% of the loans insured by the Company and approximately 4.8% of the loans insured by the Company written through the bulk channel (a substantial number of which are subprime). In 2003, the servicer ratings assigned to Select by Moodys and S&P were downgraded to below average due in part to concerns expressed by those rating agencies about Selects regulatory compliance and operational controls. In the second quarter of 2004, these rating agencies raised Selects service ratings to average.
Competition or changes in the Companys relationships with its customers could reduce the Companys revenues or increase its losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers but also with mortgage lenders through reinsurance transactions. In these transactions, a lenders affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender.
The level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has also increased as many large mortgage lenders have reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the mortgage lending market held by large lenders.
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Our private mortgage insurance competitors include:
Assured Guaranty Limited f/k/a/ AGC Holdings Limited, a financial guaranty company whose mortgage insurance business is primarily reinsurance, has announced that it intends to write investment grade mortgage guaranty insurance on a direct basis.
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements change, the length of time that the Companys policies remain in force could decline and result in declines in Companys revenue.
In each year, most of the Companys premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As a result, the length of time insurance remains in force (which is also generally referred to as persistency) is an important determinant of revenues. The factors affecting the length of time the Companys insurance remains in force include:
During the 1990s, the Companys year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to a low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. At December 31, 2004 persistency was at 60.2%, compared to the record low of 44.9% at September 30, 2003. Over the past several years, refinancing has become easier to accomplish and less costly for many consumers. Hence, even in an interest rate environment favorable to persistency improvement, the Company does not expect persistency will approach its December 31, 1990 level.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that the Company writes could decline which would reduce the Companys revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
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In general, the majority of the underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book of mortgage insurance generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of the underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result in modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results occurs because relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience occur in the first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium revenues, as persistency decreases due to loan prepayments, and higher losses.
If all other things were equal, a decline in new insurance written in a year that followed a number of years of higher volume could result in a lower contribution to the mortgage insurers overall results. This effect may occur because the older books will be experiencing declines in revenue and increases in losses with a lower amount of underwriting profit on the new book available to offset these results.
Whether such a lower contribution would in fact occur depends in part on the extent of the volume decline. Even with a substantial decline in volume, there may be offsetting factors that could increase the contribution in the current year. These offsetting factors include higher persistency and a mix of business with higher average premiums, which could have the effect of increasing revenues, and improvements in the economy, which could have the effect of reducing losses. In addition, the effect on the insurers overall results from such a lower contribution may be offset by decreases in the mortgage insurers expenses that are unrelated to claim or default activity, including those related to lower volume.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce the Companys revenues or increase its losses.
The business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
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The mortgage insurance industry is subject to litigation risk.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including the Companys MGIC subsidiary, have been involved in litigation alleging violations of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the Fair Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in June 2004. There can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA or FCRA.
Net premiums written could be adversely affected if the Department of Housing and Urban Development reproposes and adopts a regulation under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act that is equivalent to a proposed regulation that was withdrawn in 2004.
The regulations of the Department of Housing and Urban Development under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act prohibit paying lenders for the referral of settlement services, including mortgage insurance, and prohibit lenders from receiving such payments. In July 2002, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed a regulation that would exclude from these anti-referral fee provisions settlement services included in a package of settlement services offered to a borrower at a guaranteed price. HUD withdrew this proposed regulation in March 2004. Under the proposed regulation, if mortgage insurance was required on a loan, the package must include any mortgage insurance premium paid at settlement. Although certain state insurance regulations prohibit an insurers payment of referral fees, had this regulation been adopted in this form, the Companys revenues could have been adversely affected to the extent that lenders offered such packages and received value from the Company in excess of what they could have received were the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act to apply and if such state regulations were not applied to prohibit such payments.
The Companys income from joint ventures could be adversely affected by credit losses, insufficient liquidity or competition affecting the business of C-BASS or Sherman.
C-BASS: C-BASS is particularly exposed to credit risk and funding risk. In addition, C-BASSs results are sensitive to its ability to purchase mortgage loans and securities on terms that it projects will meets its return targets.
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With respect to credit risk, an increasing proportion of non-conforming mortgage originations (the types of mortgages C-BASS principally purchases), are products, such as interest only loans to subprime borrowers, that are viewed by C-BASS as having greater credit risk. In addition, credit losses are a function of housing prices, which in certain regions have experienced rates of increase greater than historical norms and greater than growth in median incomes.
With respect to liquidity, the substantial majority of C-BASSs on-balance sheet financing for its mortgage and securities portfolio is short-term and dependent on the value of the collateral that secures this debt. While C-BASSs policies governing the management of capital at risk are intended to provide sufficient liquidity to cover an instantaneous and substantial decline in value, such policies cannot guaranty that all liquidity required will in fact be available.
Although there has been growth in the volume of non-conforming mortgage originations in recent years, such growth may not continue if interest rates increase or the economy weakens. There is an increasing amount of competition to purchase non-conforming mortgages, including from newly established real estate investment trusts and from firms that in the past acted as mortgage securities intermediaries but which are now establishing their own captive origination capacity. The continuing decrease in credit spreads has also heightened competition in the purchase of non-conforming mortgages and other securities.
Sherman: Shermans results are sensitive to its ability to purchase receivable portfolios on terms that it projects will meets its return targets. While the volume of charged-off consumer receivables and the portion of these receivables that have been sold to third parties such as Sherman has grown in recent years, there is an increasing amount of competition to purchase such portfolios, including from new entrants to the industry, which has resulted in increases in the prices at which portfolios can be purchased.
The March 2005 acquisition of First National Bank of Marin is intended to provide Sherman with the capability to originate subprime credit card receivables. This acquisition has materially increased Shermans assets as well as its debt and its financial leverage. There can be no assurance that the benefits projected from the acquisition by Sherman will be achieved.
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
The Companys borrowings under its commercial paper program are subject to interest rates that are variable. A discussion of the Companys interest rate swaps appears in the fourth and fifth paragraphs of Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K under Liquidity and Capital Resources and such discussion is incorporated by reference.
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Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
The following consolidated financial statements of the Company are filed pursuant to this Item 8:
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CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONSYears Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIESCONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETSDecember 31, 2004 and 2003
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIESCONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS EQUITYYears Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIESCONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWSYears Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIESNOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
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4. Investments
The following table summarizes the Companys investments at December 31, 2004 and 2003:
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The amortized cost, gross unrealized gains and losses and fair value of the investment portfolio at December 31, 2004 and 2003 are shown below. Debt securities consist of fixed maturities and short-term investments.
The amortized cost and fair values of debt securities at December 31, 2004, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. Because most mortgage-backed securities provide for periodic payments throughout their lives, they are listed below in a separate category.
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At December 31, 2004 and 2003, fixed maturity investments had gross unrealized losses of $10.5 million and $5.0 million, respectively. For those securities in an unrealized loss position, the length of time the securities were in such a position, as measured by their month-end fair values, is as follows:
Of those securities that have been in an unrealized loss position for 12 months or longer, none has an unrealized loss of more than 20% of that securitys amortized cost.
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Net investment income is comprised of the following:
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The net realized investment gains (losses) and change in net unrealized appreciation (depreciation) of investments are as follows:
The reclassification adjustment relating to the change in investment gains and losses is as follows:
The gross realized gains and the gross realized losses on sales of securities were $22.1 million and $4.9 million, respectively, in 2004, $54.6 million and $17.7 million, respectively, in 2003 and $47.2 million and $18.1 million, respectively, in 2002.
The tax (benefit) expense of the changes in net unrealized (depreciation) appreciation was ($12.0) million, ($11.3) million and $61.8 million for 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively.
The Company had $23.1 million and $22.6 million of investments on deposit with various states at December 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively, due to regulatory requirements of those state insurance departments.
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5. Short- and long-term debt
The Company has a $285 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by Standard and Poors and P-1 by Moodys. At December 31, 2004 and 2003, the Company had $139.5 million and $100.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 2.36% and 1.18%, respectively.
The Company had a $285 million credit facility available at December 31, 2004, expiring in 2006. Under the terms of the credit facility, the Company must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25 billion and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulation. At December 31, 2004, the Company met these requirements. The facility is currently being used as a liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. The remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount necessary to support the commercial paper was $145.5 million and $185.0 million at December 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The Company had $300 million, 7.5% Senior Notes due in 2005 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in 2007 outstanding at December 31, 2004 and 2003. At December 31, 2004 and 2003, the market value of the outstanding debt was $661.3 million and $644.3 million, respectively. Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt were $42.1 million, $41.8 million, and $36.2 million for the years ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively.
In May 2002, a swap designated as a cash flow hedge was amended to coincide with the credit facility. Under the terms of the swap contract, the Company pays a fixed rate of 5.43% and receives an interest rate based on LIBOR. The swap has an expiration date coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and is designated as a cash flow hedge. The cash flow swap outstanding at December 31, 2004 and December 31, 2003 is evaluated quarterly using regression analysis with any ineffectiveness being recorded as an expense. To date this evaluation has not resulted in any hedge ineffectiveness. Swaps are subject to credit risk to the extent the counterparty would be unable to discharge its obligations under the swap agreements.
Expense on the interest rate swaps for the years ended December 31, 2004 and 2003 of approximately $3.3 million and $3.4 million, respectively, was included in interest expense. Gains or losses arising from the amendment or termination of previously held interest rate swaps are deferred and amortized to interest expense over the life of the hedged items.
6. Loss reserves
As described in Note 2, the Company establishes reserves to recognize the estimated liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to defaults on insured mortgage loans. The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant judgment by management. The following table provides a reconciliation of beginning and ending loss reserves for each of the past three years:
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inventory decreased from 86,372 at December 31, 2003 to 85,487 at December 31, 2004 and pool insurance notice inventory decreased from 28,135 at December 31, 2003 to 25,500 at December 31, 2004. The average primary claim paid for 2004 was $24,438 compared to $22,925 in 2003.
The development of the reserves in 2004, 2003 and 2002 is reflected in the prior year line. In 2004, the $13.5 million reduction in losses incurred related to prior years was due primarily to more stable loss trends experienced during the year. In 2003, there were significant increases in the rate at which the defaults went to claim (claim rate) and significant increases in individual claim amounts (severity). As a result, there was a $113.8 million increase in losses incurred related to prior years.
The lower portion of the table above shows the breakdown between claims paid on default notices received in the current year and default notices received in prior years. Since it takes, on average, about twelve months for a default which is not cured to develop into a paid claim, most losses paid relate to default notices received in prior years.
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at December 31, 2004 and 2003 appears in the table below.
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7. Reinsurance
The Company cedes a portion of its business to reinsurers and records assets for reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves and prepaid reinsurance premiums. Business written between 1985 and 1993 is ceded under various reinsurance agreements with several reinsurers. The Company also cedes primary business to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders, primarily under aggregate excess of loss agreements for each reinsurance period. The majority of ceded premiums relates to these agreements. Additionally, certain pool polices written by the Company have been reinsured with one domestic reinsurer. The Company receives a ceding commission under certain reinsurance agreements.
The Company monitors the financial strength of its reinsurers including their claims paying ability rating and does not currently anticipate any collection problems. Generally, reinsurance recoverables on primary loss reserves and prepaid reinsurance premiums are backed by trust funds or letters of credit. No reinsurer represents more than $10 million of the aggregate amount recoverable.
The effect of these agreements on premiums earned and losses incurred is as follows:
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8. Investments in joint ventures
C-BASS is a mortgage investment and servicing firm specializing in credit-sensitive single-family residential mortgage assets and residential mortgage-backed securities. C-BASS principally invests in whole loans (including subprime loans) and mezzanine and subordinated residential mortgage-backed securities backed by non-conforming residential mortgage loans. C-BASSs principal sources of revenues during the last three years were net interest income (including accretion on mortgage securities), servicing fees, money management fees from C-BASS CBOs and investment funds sponsored by C-BASS, and gains on securitization and liquidation of mortgage-related assets, offset by hedging losses. C-BASSs results of operations are affected by the timing of its securitization transactions. Virtually all of C-BASSs assets do not have readily ascertainable market values and, as a result, their value for financial statement purposes is estimated by the management of C-BASS based on, among other things, valuations provided by financing counterparties. The ultimate value of these assets is the net present value of their future cash flows, which depends on, among other things, the level of losses on the underlying mortgages and prepayment activity by the mortgage borrowers. Market value adjustments could impact C-BASSs results of operations and the Companys share of those results. The Companys investment in C-BASS on an equity basis at December 31, 2004 was $285.2 million.
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Sherman is principally engaged in the business of purchasing and servicing delinquent consumer assets such as credit card loans and Chapter 13 bankruptcy debt. A substantial portion of Shermans consolidated assets are investments in consumer receivable portfolios that do not have readily ascertainable market values. Shermans results of operations are sensitive to estimates by Shermans management of ultimate collections on these portfolios. Effective January 1, 2003, the Company sold four percentage points of its interest in Sherman to Shermans management for cash, reducing the Companys interest in Sherman to 41.5%. The Companys investment in Sherman on an equity basis at December 31, 2004 was $97.0 million.
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Because C-BASS and Sherman are accounted for using the equity method, they are not consolidated with the Company and their assets and liabilities do not appear in the Companys balance sheet. The investments in joint ventures item in the Companys balance sheet reflects the amount of capital contributed by the Company to joint ventures plus the Companys share of their comprehensive income (or minus its share of their comprehensive loss) and minus capital distributed to the Company by the joint ventures. (See note 2.)
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9. Benefit plans
The following tables provide reconciliations of the changes in the benefit obligation, fair value of plan assets and funded status of the pension and other postretirement benefit plans:
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The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension and other postretirement benefit plans:
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The following benefit payments, which reflect future service, are expected to be paid in the following fiscal years:
On December 8, 2003 the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 (Act) was signed into law. The Act introduced a prescription drug benefit under Medicare Part D as well as a federal subsidy to sponsors of retiree health care benefit plans that provide a benefit that is at least actuarially equivalent to Medicare Part D. Beginning in the second quarter of 2004, the effects of the subsidy are reflected in the measurement of the net periodic postretirement benefit costs. The effect of the subsidy on the measurement of the annual net periodic postretirement benefit cost for the current year was a $1.4 million reduction. The components of the reduction include $0.5 million related to service cost, $0.5 million related to interest cost and $0.4 million related to recognized net actuarial gain/loss. The effect of the subsidy on the Accumulated Postretirement Benefit Obligation was a $7.5 million reduction.
Employer pension and postretirement contributions for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2005 are expected to approximate $10.9 million and $4.9 million, respectively. The ERISA minimum required pension contribution is zero.
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The Companys pension plan portfolio returns are expected to achieve the following objectives over each market cycle and for at least 5 years:
The primary focus in developing asset allocation ranges for the account is the assessment of the accounts investment objectives and the level of risk that is acceptable to obtain those objectives. To achieve these goals the minimum and maximum allocation ranges for fixed securities and equity securities are:
Investment in international oriented funds is limited to a maximum of 15% of the equity range.
The Companys postretirement plan portfolio returns are expected to achieve the following objectives over each market cycle and for at least 5 years:
The primary focus in developing asset allocation ranges for the account is the assessment of the accounts investment objectives and the level of risk that is acceptable to obtain those objectives. To achieve these goals the minimum and maximum allocation ranges for fixed income securities and equity securities are:
Given the long term nature of this portfolio and the lack of any immediate need for cash flow, it is anticipated that the equity investments will consist of growth stocks and will typically be at the higher end of the allocation ranges above. Investment in international oriented funds is limited to a maximum of 15% of the equity range.
The assumptions used in the measurement of the Companys pension and other postretirement benefit obligations are shown in the following table:
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In selecting the expected long-term rate of return on assets, the Company considered the average rate of earnings expected on the classes of funds invested or to be invested to provide for the benefits of these plans. This included considering the trusts targeted asset allocation for the year and the expected returns likely to be earned over the next 20 years. The assumptions used for the return of each asset class are conservative when compared to long-term historical returns.
Plan assets consist of fixed maturities, equity securities and real estate. The Company is amortizing the unrecognized transition obligation for other postretirement benefits over 20 years.
For measurement purposes a 10% health care trend rate was used for 2004. In 2005, the rate is assumed to be 10%, decreasing to 5% by 2015 and remaining at this level beyond.
A 1% change in the health care trend rate assumption would have the following effects on other postretirement benefits:
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The Company has a profit sharing and 401(k) savings plan for employees. At the discretion of the Board of Directors, the Company may make a profit sharing contribution of up to 5% of each participants eligible compensation. The Company provides a matching 401(k) savings contribution on employees before-tax contributions at a rate of 80% of the first $1,000 contributed and 40% of the next $2,000 contributed. The Company recognized profit sharing expense and 401(k) savings plan expense of $5.7 million, $7.7 million and $6.3 million in 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively.
10. Income taxes
Net deferred tax assets and liabilities as of December 31, 2004 and 2003 are as follows:
Management believes that all gross deferred tax assets at December 31, 2004 are fully realizable and no valuation reserve was established.
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The components of the net deferred tax asset as of December 31, 2004 and 2003 are as follows:
The following summarizes the components of the provision for income tax:
The Company paid $203.2 million, $182.1 million and $261.3 million in federal income tax in 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively. At December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002, the Company owned $1,468.5 million, $1,316.9 million and $1,181.9 million, respectively, of tax and loss bonds.
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The statutory net income, equity and the contingency reserve liability of the insurance subsidiaries (excluding the non- insurance companies) are as follows:
The Company has 1991 and 2002 stock incentive plans. When the 2002 plan was adopted in 2002, no further awards could be made under the 1991 plan. The maximum number of shares covered by awards under the 2002 plan is the total of 10 million shares plus the number of shares covered by awards under the 1991 plan that were outstanding on March 1, 2002 that are subsequently forfeited and the number of shares that must be purchased at a purchase price of not less than the fair market value of the shares as a condition to the award of restricted stock under the 2002 plan. The maximum number of shares of restricted stock that can be awarded under the 2002 plan is 1 million shares. Both plans provide for the award of stock options with maximum terms of 10 years and for the grant of restricted stock, and the 2002 plan also provides for the grant of stock appreciation rights. The exercise price of options is the closing price of the common stock on the New York Stock Exchange on the date of grant. The vesting provisions of options and restricted stock are determined at the time of grant. Directors may receive awards under the 2002 plan and were eligible for awards of restricted stock under the 1991 plan.
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A summary of option activity in the stock incentive plans during 2002, 2003 and 2004 is as follows:
The exercise price of the options granted in 2002, 2003 and 2004 was equal to the market value of the stock on the date of grant. The options are exercisable between one and ten years after the date of grant.
Information about restricted stock granted during 2002, 2003 and 2004 is as follows:
For the year ended December 31, 2004, approximately 81 thousand shares of restricted stock became vested and approximately 35 thousand shares of restricted stock were forfeited. At December 31, 2004, 8,634,001 shares were available for future grant under the 2002 stock incentive plan. Of the shares available for future grant, only 480,336 are available for restricted stock awards.
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For purposes of determining the pro forma net income disclosure in Note 2, the fair value of these options was estimated at grant date using the binomial option pricing model for the 2004 options and the Black-Scholes model for prior years with the following weighted average assumptions for each year:
The following is a summary of stock options outstanding at December 31, 2004:
At December 31, 2003 and 2002, option shares of 1,754,929 and 1,539,559 were exercisable at an average exercise price of $45.88 and $41.62, respectively. The Company also granted an immaterial amount of equity instruments other than options and restricted stock during 2002, 2003 and 2004.
Under terms of the Companys Shareholder Rights Agreement each outstanding share of the Companys Common Stock is accompanied by one Right. The Distribution Date occurs ten days after an announcement that a person has become the beneficial owner (as defined in the Agreement) of the Designated Percentage of the Companys Common Stock (the date on which such an acquisition occurs is the Shares Acquisition Date and a person who makes such an acquisition is an Acquiring Person), or ten business days after a person announces or begins a tender offer in which consummation of such offer would result in ownership by a person of 15 percent or more of the Common Stock. The Designated Percentage is 15% or more, except that for certain investment advisers and investment companies advised by such advisers, the Designated Percentage is 20% or more if certain conditions are met. The Rights are not exercisable until the Distribution Date. Each Right will initially entitle shareholders to buy one-half of one share of the Companys Common Stock at a Purchase Price of $225 per full share (equivalent to $112.50 for each one-half share), subject to adjustment. If there is an Acquiring Person, then each Right (subject to certain limitations) will entitle its holder to purchase, at the Rights then-current Purchase Price, a number of
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Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm
To the Board of Directors and Shareholdersof MGIC Investment Corporation:
We have completed an integrated audit of MGIC Investment Corporation and Subsidiaries December 31, 2004 consolidated financial statements and of its internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2004 and audits of its December 31, 2003 and 2002 consolidated financial statements in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Our opinions, based on our audits, are presented below.
Consolidated financial statements
In our opinion, the accompanying consolidated balance sheets and the related consolidated statements of operations, shareholders equity and cash flows present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of MGIC Investment Corporation and Subsidiaries at December 31, 2004 and 2003, and the results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2004 in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. These financial statements are the responsibility of the Companys management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements based on our audits. We conducted our audits of these statements in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit of financial statements includes examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements, assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, and evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.
Internal control over financial reporting
Also, in our opinion, managements assessment, included in the accompanying Managements Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting, that the Company maintained effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2004 based on criteria established in Internal Control - - Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO), is fairly stated, in all material respects, based on those criteria. Furthermore, in our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2004, based on criteria established in Internal Control Integrated Framework issued by the COSO. The Companys management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting. Our responsibility is to express opinions on managements assessment and on the effectiveness of the Companys internal control over financial reporting based on our audit. We conducted our audit of internal control over financial reporting in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we
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plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. An audit of internal control over financial reporting includes obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, evaluating managements assessment, testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control, and performing such other procedures as we consider necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable basis for our opinions.
A companys internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A companys internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (ii) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (iii) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the companys assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLPChicago, IllinoisMarch 11, 2005
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Item 9. Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure.
Item 9A. Controls and Procedures.
Managements Conclusion Regarding the Effectiveness of Disclosure Controls
The Companys management, with the participation of the Companys principal executive officer and principal financial officer, has evaluated the Companys disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the period covered by this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Based on such evaluation, the Companys principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were effective as of the end of such period.
Managements Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
The Companys management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f)). The Companys internal control over financial reporting is designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. Because of its inherent limitations, however, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree or compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
The Companys management, with the participation of the Companys principal executive officer and principal financial officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the Companys internal control over financial reporting using the framework in Internal Control Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based on such evaluation, the Companys management concluded that the Companys internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2004.
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm that audited the Companys financial statements included in this Annual Report, has audited and issued an attestation report on managements assessment of the Companys internal control over financial reporting. Their report is included at the end of Item 8 of this Annual Report.
Changes in Internal Control during the Fourth Quarter
There was no change in the Companys internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the fourth quarter of 2004 that materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Companys internal control over financial reporting.
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Item 9B. Other Information.
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PART III
Item 10. Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant.
This information (other than on the executive officers) will be included in the Companys Proxy Statement for the 2005 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, and is hereby incorporated by reference. The information on the executive officers appears at the end of Part I of this Form 10-K.
The Company intends to disclose on its website any waivers and amendments to its Code of Business Conduct that are required to be disclosed under Item 5.05 of Form 8-K.
Item 11. Executive Compensation.
This information will be included in the Companys Proxy Statement for the 2005 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and, other than information covered by Instruction (9) to Item 402 (a) of Regulation S-K of the Securities and Exchange Commission, is hereby incorporated by reference.
Item 12. Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management.
This information, other than information regarding equity compensation plans required by Item 201 (d) of Regulation S-K of the Securities and Exchange Commission which appears below, will be included in the Companys Proxy Statement for the 2005 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, and is hereby incorporated by reference.
The table below sets forth certain information, as of December 31, 2004, about options outstanding under the Companys 1991 Stock Incentive Plan (the 1991 Plan) and its 2002 Stock Incentive Plan (the 2002 Plan). Other than under these plans, no options, warrants or rights were outstanding at that date under any compensation plan or individual compensation arrangement of the Company. The Company has no compensation plan under which its equity securities may be issued that has not been approved by shareholders. Share units issued under the Deferred Compensation Plan for Non-Employee Directors, which have no voting power and can be settled only in cash, are not considered to be equity securities for this purpose.
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Item 13. Certain Relationships and Related Transactions.
To the extent applicable, this information will be included in the Companys Proxy Statement for the 2005 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, and is hereby incorporated by reference.
Item 14. Principal Accountant Fees and Services.
This information will be included in the Companys Proxy Statement for the 2005 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, and is hereby incorporated by reference.
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PART IV
Item 15. Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules.
1. Financial statements. The following financial statements are filed in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K:
2. Financial statement schedules. The following financial statement schedules are filed as part of this Form 10-K and appear immediately following the signature page:
3. Exhibits. The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of this Item and, except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such Index are filed as part of this Form 10-K. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-K but accompanies this Form 10-K.
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, on March 14, 2005.
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this report has been signed below as of the date set forth above by the following persons on behalf of the registrant and in the capacities indicated.
Name and Title
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Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm onFinancial Statement Schedules
To the Board of Directorsof MGIC Investment Corporation:
Our audits of the consolidated financial statements, of managements assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting and of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting, referred to in our report dated March 11, 2005 appearing in this Annual Report on Form 10-K also included an audit of the financial statement schedules listed in Item 15(a)(2) of this Form 10-K. In our opinion, these financial statement schedules present fairly, in all material respects, the information set forth therein when read in conjunction with the related consolidated financial statements.
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATIONSCHEDULE I SUMMARY OF INVESTMENTS -OTHER THAN INVESTMENTS IN RELATED PARTIESDecember 31, 2004
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATIONSCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANTCONDENSED BALANCE SHEETSPARENT COMPANY ONLYDecember 31, 2004 and 2003
See accompanying supplementary notes to Parent Company condensed financial statements.
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SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONSPARENT COMPANY ONLYYears Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
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CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWSPARENT COMPANY ONLYYears Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
See accompanying notes to Parent Company condensed financial statements.
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PARENT COMPANY ONLY
SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
Note A
The accompanying Parent Company financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements appearing in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Note B
The Companys insurance subsidiaries are subject to statutory regulations as to maintenance of policyholders surplus and payment of dividends. The maximum amount of dividends that the insurance subsidiaries may pay in any twelve-month period without regulatory approval by the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin is the lesser of adjusted statutory net income or 10% of statutory policyholders surplus as of the preceding calendar year end. Adjusted statutory net income is defined for this purpose to be the greater of statutory net income, net of realized investment gains, for the calendar year preceding the date of the dividend or statutory net income, net of realized investment gains, for the three calendar years preceding the date of the dividend less dividends paid within the first two of the preceding three calendar years. In 2005, MGIC can pay $177.7 million of dividends under these restrictions. The other insurance subsidiaries of the Company can pay $3.0 million of dividends without such regulatory approval.
Certain of the Companys non-insurance subsidiaries also have requirements as to maintenance of net worth. These restrictions could also affect the Companys ability to pay dividends.
In 2004, 2003 and 2002, the Company paid dividends of $22.0 million, $11.1 million and $10.4 million, respectively, or $0.225 per share in 2004, and $0.1125 in 2003 and $0.10 in 2002.
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SCHEDULE IV REINSURANCE
MORTGAGE INSURANCE PREMIUMS EARNEDYears Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
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INDEX TO EXHIBITS
[Item 15(a)3]
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Supplementary List of the above Exhibits which relate to management contracts or compensatory plans or arrangements:
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The following documents, identified in the footnote references above, are incorporated by reference, as indicated, to: the Companys Annual Reports on Form 10-K for the years ended December 31, 1993, 1994, 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, or 2003 (the 1993 10-K, 1994 10-K, 1997 10-K, 1999 10-K, 2001 10-K, 2002 10-K and 2003 10-K, respectively); to the Companys Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the Quarters ended June 30, 1994 or 1998 or September 30, 2002 or 2004 (the June 30, 1994 10-Q, June 30, 1998 10-Q, September 30, 2002 10-Qand September 30, 2004 10-Q, respectively); to the Companys registration Statement Form 8-A filed July 27, 1999 (the 8-A), as amended by Amendment No. 1 filed
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October 29, 2002 (the 8-A/A-No. 1) and by Amendment No. 2 filed May 14, 2004 (the 8-A/A-No. 2); to the Companys Current Reports on Form 8-K dated October 17, 2000 (the October 2000 8-K) and February 1, 2005 (the February 2005 8-K); or to the Companys Proxy Statement for its 2002 Annual Meeting of Shareholders (the 2002 Proxy Statement). The documents are further identified by cross-reference to the Exhibits in the respective documents where they were originally filed:
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